TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Nassr Saudi Clubof Al Nassr Saudi Club, Al Riyadh Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,051 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Al Nassr Saudi Club34c2,035$696 inWon+$1,338.842,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27e4…4803backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club66c2,000$1,320 inLost-$1,319.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Al Nassr Saudi Club39c1,972$761 inWon+$1,210.5782842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club62c1,084$670 inLost-$669.725,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club50c367.13$184 inLost-$183.571266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club65c223.58$145 inLost-$145.421,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club65c176.1$115 inLost-$115.141,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club64c159$102 inLost-$101.761,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club67c130$87 inLost-$87.3217041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club64c95$61 inLost-$60.81,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a34…a28bbacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club66c67.75$45 inLost-$44.712544%11 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Al Nassr Saudi Club33c50$17 inWon+$33.532654%176 W · 150 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club66c47.61$31 inLost-$31.4274739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club66c35$23 inLost-$23.11,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club65c34$22 inLost-$22.0818161.9%112 W · 69 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club65c30$20 inLost-$19.56349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bbb…85aabacked Al Nassr Saudi Club35c29$10 inWon+$18.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab95…6c79backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club62c25.19$16 inLost-$15.592462.5%15 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Al Nassr Saudi Club44c23$10 inWon+$12.8927148%130 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club65c15.89$10 inLost-$10.331861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.