TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,001 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over39c3,092$1,207 inWon+$1,884.851,61736.3%587 W · 1,030 L-34.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under56c1,302$724 inLost-$724.051,70750.6%863 W · 844 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under58c1,268$732 inLost-$731.83366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under72c1,183$852 inLost-$851.8419340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under37c792.8$294 inLost-$293.752,39737.8%905 W · 1,492 L-3.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over28c736.72$206 inWon+$530.447837.2%29 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under72c694.44$500 inLost-$50036352.9%192 W · 171 L-1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c497.69$264 inLost-$264.342,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Over43c465.12$200 inWon+$265.121050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Over20c449.98$91 inWon+$358.991827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c277.26$145 inWon+$132.095,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under55c250.13$138 inLost-$137.575850%29 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over64c201.74$130 inWon+$71.7412074.2%89 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under13c200$26 inLost-$26.3392235.1%324 W · 598 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under57c158.19$90 inLost-$89.729146.2%42 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over36c89.99$32 inWon+$57.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Over46c86.96$40 inWon+$46.964564.4%29 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed Over63c85.14$54 inWon+$31.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over49c56.66$28 inWon+$28.7326147.9%125 W · 136 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over44c50.65$22 inWon+$28.282839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over45c50$23 inWon+$27.51,95954.6%1,069 W · 890 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Over40c49.98$20 inWon+$29.994358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c48.24$21 inWon+$27.31,43435.2%505 W · 929 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over49c45$22 inWon+$23.113861.6%85 W · 53 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over49c45$22 inWon+$23.122548%108 W · 117 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over35c41.64$15 inWon+$26.9342425.9%110 W · 314 L-32.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-39.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over45c40$18 inWon+$22988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.42per pick47cpaid+90.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over49c30$15 inWon+$15.3527251.1%139 W · 133 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over59c24.8$15 inWon+$10.1713855.8%77 W · 61 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Under55c19.89$11 inLost-$10.991154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.