Asian League · resolved market
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4314b3112afb33664da97b4f893f7b74aa0415f75b3b41b9bc1ad2e225ea6c5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 17c | 13,358$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.2 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 69c | 7,043$4,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.8 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 4,150$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.15 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 30c | 3,266$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.15 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 78c | 2,899$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.52 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 31c | 2,184$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.33 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 80c | 2,137$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.82 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 31c | 2,100$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.84 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…98b7backed Over | 68c | 1,335$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Under | 18c | 1,278$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.92 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 70c | 1,159$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.59 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Under | 17c | 1,156$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 19c | 1,048$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 77c | 1,030$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.28 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +10.6wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Over | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 26c | 975.06$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.62 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 71c | 865.21$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.7 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 34c | 240.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Over | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 24c | 188.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 22c | 172.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 77c | 168.81$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 78c | 168$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 158.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 31c | 143.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 32c | 141$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Over | 79c | 140.04$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 77c | 131$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 138 | 61.6%85 W · 53 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Over | 70c | 122.85$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 80c | 99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 31c | 89.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Over | 69c | 86.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +6.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 15c | 84.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 68c | 76.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…2fc6backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 31c | 52.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 400 | 51%204 W · 196 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 79c | 29.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 68c | 27.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…e3d2backed Over | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Al Riyadh Saudi Club O/U 0.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Al Riyadh Saudi Club O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.