Asian League · resolved market
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabc5671fec24760dc9f7a31b2320d389d1bbb66aeb04b08b16dc63575fc0cafb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 66c | 10,966$7,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,753.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 9,294$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.18 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Over | 16c | 7,788$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.95 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 27c | 5,099$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.6 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 71c | 2,831$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.57 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Over | 17c | 2,393$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 66c | 2,273$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.41 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 64c | 1,370$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.7 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 14c | 1,332$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.09 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 27c | 1,277$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.98 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 1,208$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 74c | 1,005$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.43 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 64c | 590.91$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +8.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 78c | 548.26$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.11 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 31c | 457$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.67 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 67c | 443.27$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.46 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 74c | 403.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 6c | 350$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 22c | 300.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 25c | 277.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Under | 62c | 264.19$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 38c | 238.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 23c | 213.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 39c | 201.83$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Over | 26c | 199.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 74c | 143.62$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 72c | 135.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 41c | 132.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 20c | 106.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Over | 39c | 103.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Over | 39c | 103.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 31c | 87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 15c | 86.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 27c | 82.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Over | 32c | 80.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 28c | 77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 28c | 74.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…3684backed Under | 73c | 60.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 73c | 49.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Under | 69c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Over | 41c | 48.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 72c | 43.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 37c | 40.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +5.4wins | +0.45per pick | 47cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 29c | 39.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 35c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 29c | 36.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 73c | 34.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 62c | 23.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 74c | 17.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Al Riyadh Saudi Club O/U 0.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Al Riyadh Saudi Club O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.