Asian League · resolved market
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa74f3a87fda876aef69e1141ee5fd1a83524ab583e5aa7f03c29be31eda0049f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 53c | 3,082$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.87 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 47c | 2,007$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.96 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 48c | 1,624$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.1 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 772.8$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.89 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 626.19$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.93 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 52c | 350.72$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.11 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 52c | 272.25$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.23 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 45c | 265.81$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.82 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 64c | 229$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 44c | 214.58$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 63c | 209.05$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 48c | 163.26$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 137$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 44c | 129$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 45c | 75.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 30c | 71.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 424 | 25.9%110 W · 314 L | -32.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 48c | 69.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc273…3102backed Yes | 30c | 64.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 64c | 58.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 48c | 58.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 48c | 56.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa443…1826backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 75c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd1…73a1backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 138 | 61.6%85 W · 53 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d68…580abacked Yes | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Al Riyadh Saudi Club O/U 0.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Al Riyadh Saudi Club O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.