World Politics · resolved market
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43df7084bde04918b83541a43279051f9b3bc3124990ca1d6a0fe67f612f5b4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 20c | 5,072$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2958…0c6dbacked No | 2c | 4,269$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…4665backed No | 6c | 3,397$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 10c | 3,072$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.6 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed Yes | 80c | 2,978$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 16c | 2,815$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.25 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…ce16backed No | 10c | 2,498$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 67c | 2,498$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.78 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked No | 7c | 2,179$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.02 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 21cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 5c | 2,157$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.63 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 2,035$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…33f6backed No | 16c | 2,006$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed No | 3c | 1,242$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed No | 7c | 1,180$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…29debacked No | 40c | 1,180$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…b1b8backed Yes | 60c | 1,180$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 13c | 1,132$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.89 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cb…76fcbacked No | 5c | 1,102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4598backed No | 29c | 1,043$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 18c | 1,039$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.19 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 5c | 1,023$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 6c | 970$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 18c | 964.52$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.61 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 71c | 952.88$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.78 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6917…7279backed No | 36c | 850$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…6786backed Yes | 64c | 850$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked No | 5c | 780.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…0cebbacked No | 20c | 779.73$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe059…20b4backed No | 13c | 771$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 67c | 769.67$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.39 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7d…79cebacked No | 35c | 761.56$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 12c | 729.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed No | 5c | 599.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…cb93backed No | 24c | 598.03$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…e838backed No | 6c | 596.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7976…34f7backed No | 16c | 588$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…9b1cbacked No | 17c | 571$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867c…5d65backed No | 5c | 564.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 15cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…edc4backed No | 7c | 534.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 110 | 17.3%19 W · 91 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked No | 5c | 499.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 30c | 450.45$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…b743backed No | 9c | 442.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47b6…bc7dbacked No | 17c | 422$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 80c | 400.01$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 13c | 399.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…ff83backed Yes | 65c | 383.44$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed No | 5c | 381.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b58…f7cbbacked No | 5c | 369.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1e…ecb1backed No | 6c | 366.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…3918backed No | 14c | 358$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…679ebacked No | 5c | 350.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a07…93ebbacked No | 15c | 307$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…3f28backed No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e92…5f27backed No | 4c | 284.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…0f90backed Yes | 71c | 280$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…daa5backed No | 4c | 276.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 29c | 272.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.05 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe0…1364backed No | 13c | 266$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked No | 26c | 264.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 4c | 238.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 11c | 222$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb393…f733backed Yes | 74c | 212.86$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…b703backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…14b0backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…ab31backed No | 10c | 198.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed No | 24c | 195$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…9d9ebacked No | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a4…996dbacked No | 20c | 174.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 42c | 169$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ef…f738backed No | 24c | 164.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed No | 10c | 163.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cc…8cd3backed No | 14c | 148$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 16c | 146.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…1fa4backed Yes | 68c | 146.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…d749backed No | 16c | 143$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed No | 40c | 140$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 29c | 135.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x895c…4bb9backed No | 15c | 133$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e9…ea97backed Yes | 76c | 132.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…fd6ebacked Yes | 80c | 125.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…e56bbacked No | 23c | 119.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…e2afbacked No | 10c | 116.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c2…56acbacked No | 15c | 114$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc347…0b01backed No | 12c | 111.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…953dbacked No | 20c | 101.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…bbfebacked No | 16c | 101$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed No | 19c | 100.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…648cbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41b8…88c8backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…24debacked Yes | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0788…adc1backed No | 10c | 99.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…fde9backed No | 12c | 93.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…2e90backed No | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6259…257cbacked No | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf88d…557abacked No | 12c | 88.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?this page
- Will Abakar Ahamat win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Akere Muna win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Bello Bouba Maïgari win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Chris Fomunyoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Ferdinand Ngoh Ngoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Issa Tchiroma Bakary win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Maurice Kamto win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Tomaïno Ndam Njoya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.