World Politics · resolved market
Will Maurice Kamto win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39679a132f8b53b6968a47c435b04ebb31195eecbb542757c41bc9883adef4d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 0c | 24,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…63edbacked Yes | 0c | 5,029$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 23c | 3,594$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.55 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 12c | 1,476$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.25 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 59c | 900$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.8 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 711$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 7c | 589.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 15c | 466.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…aa7dbacked Yes | 10c | 430$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 4c | 427$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…8b0dbacked Yes | 10c | 190$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed Yes | 10c | 150.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 25c | 142$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9379…bc7cbacked Yes | 10c | 140.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes | 43c | 130$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 17c | 101$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 20c | 100.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…505cbacked Yes | 45c | 57.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Maurice Kamto win the Cameroon Presidential Election?this page
- Will Abakar Ahamat win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Akere Muna win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Bello Bouba Maïgari win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Chris Fomunyoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Ferdinand Ngoh Ngoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Issa Tchiroma Bakary win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Yes won
- Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Tomaïno Ndam Njoya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.