Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Solana reach 215 September 1–7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1412d1bf1c059525e4ef6941050b59cf484799fe8c7387ec995ab088b4e6d84d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 14c | 20,909$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.83 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 32c | 7,600$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.43 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 63c | 7,564$4,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.73 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 76c | 6,422$4,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.58 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 9c | 6,327$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.43 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 6c | 5,554$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.49 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 43c | 5,425$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.17 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 46c | 3,402$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.31 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 38c | 2,627$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.85 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafa1…6fc8backed No | 56c | 2,300$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…d7d4backed No | 38c | 1,968$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.09 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked No | 63c | 1,897$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.98 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…a0a1backed No | 61c | 1,790$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.5 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 57c | 1,740$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 75c | 1,146$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff3d…3fddbacked No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd1…73b4backed No | 78c | 985.78$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed Yes | 7c | 970$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb6…d7e9backed No | 60c | 832.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 667$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc355…8a90backed No | 20c | 495.95$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.76 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fd…fd7cbacked Yes | 13c | 264.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…28e9backed No | 49c | 257.42$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 41c | 225.81$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ef…f738backed No | 78c | 205.31$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…eb60backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc679…4914backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…f015backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 16c | 80$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…d060backed Yes | 77c | 70.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 33c | 63.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…b4a8backed No | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +116%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…5610backed No | 19c | 56.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 45c | 52.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbf98…d0bfbacked No | 78c | 51.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0031…586ebacked No | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc9…1b56backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 75c | 25.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Solana reach 215 September 1–7?this page
- Solana dip to 170 September 1–7?No won
- Solana dip to 175 September 1–7?No won
- Solana dip to 180 September 1–7?No won
- Solana dip to 185 September 1–7?No won
- Solana dip to 190 September 1–7?No won
- Solana reach 205 September 1–7?Yes won
- Solana reach 210 September 1–7?Yes won
- Solana reach 220 September 1–7?No won
- Solana reach 225 September 1–7?No won
- Solana reach 230 September 1–7?No won
- Solana reach 240 September 1–7?No won
- Solana reach 250 September 1–7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.