Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Solana reach 230 September 1–7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5847afc8789504face78644e651ba1b1e7d93e58dbff048dfd33c4d866f2b926
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 19c | 25,609$4,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,834.61 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked No | 80c | 12,467$9,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.38 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 20c | 9,351$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.21 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 5c | 7,900$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.47 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,765$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…7b5abacked No | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 15c | 3,022$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.26 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 12c | 1,079$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.53 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 22c | 1,050$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.97 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed No | 73c | 665$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.55 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…28e9backed No | 77c | 388.75$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 22c | 316.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 24c | 266.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed No | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 21c | 70.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 76c | 30.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Solana reach 230 September 1–7?this page
- Solana dip to 170 September 1–7?No won
- Solana dip to 175 September 1–7?No won
- Solana dip to 180 September 1–7?No won
- Solana dip to 185 September 1–7?No won
- Solana dip to 190 September 1–7?No won
- Solana reach 205 September 1–7?Yes won
- Solana reach 210 September 1–7?Yes won
- Solana reach 215 September 1–7?No won
- Solana reach 220 September 1–7?No won
- Solana reach 225 September 1–7?No won
- Solana reach 240 September 1–7?No won
- Solana reach 250 September 1–7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.