TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$261,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$289,560

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,731 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a56…3b4ebacked Yes63c59,518$37,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,021.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd085…df33backed No37c59,518$22,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,021.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd180…0c89backed Yes55c28,645$15,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,890.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e81…9f59backed No45c28,623$12,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,880.5730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c70…e172backed No4c3,392$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No1c3,023$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.394221.4%9 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-66.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf66c…4ab1backed No2c2,359$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.423116.1%5 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54db…0174backed No3c1,863$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2519623%45 W · 151 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes77c1,370$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.4513413.4%18 W · 116 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ef…f738backed No3c1,338$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.45425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-45.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed No5c900$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452650%13 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No7c890$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.310344.7%46 W · 57 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked No3c813.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.721494.7%7 W · 142 L+0.3wins0.00per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No3c721.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.111,02228%286 W · 736 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae89…9fb7backed Yes68c708.65$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Yes70c672.14$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.05683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e88…301cbacked No2c600$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.838321.7%18 W · 65 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-50.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6841…23bebacked No30c600$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1773324.2%8 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+594.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes70c546$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.8717037.6%64 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No7c533.97$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.451428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79c9…c040backed Yes63c473.05$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.561838.9%7 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick24cpaid+44.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No8c473$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0615026%39 W · 111 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf21…fd6ebacked Yes72c416.08$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.081346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed No36c398.36$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5348224.7%119 W · 363 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No34c349.54$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.161,31843.9%579 W · 739 L-26.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91b9…dcd8backed No20c326.13$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.771315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick21cpaid+43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x912a…0f92backed No17c300.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.014320.9%9 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No27c299.97$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5918628.5%53 W · 133 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5508…4380backed Yes72c271.87$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.37862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+75%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Yes74c270.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.631435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick61cpaid-51%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xff56…ca81backed Yes60c266.4$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.541758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e6…e838backed No5c260.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.02110%0 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes64c240.78$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.626139.8%104 W · 157 L+16.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e32…535bbacked Yes72c203.51$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5728430.3%86 W · 198 L+0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1633…190cbacked No28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563423.5%8 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-54.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked No57c175.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100895.6%5 W · 84 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-90.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8977…22ffbacked Yes60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b8…88c8backed No21c159.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2160%0 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50a8…be47backed No15c153.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc047…fecbbacked No36c151.15$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.72944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f8…f705backed No32c126$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.321553.3%8 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.28per pick25cpaid+158.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No29c125.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.377932.9%26 W · 53 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9725…853fbacked No40c115.28$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.11333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29e9…ea97backed Yes72c111.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.352142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf812…494bbacked No22c102.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-76.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked No25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517524.6%43 W · 132 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1237…06afbacked No28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282729.6%8 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-52.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5085…d8a4backed Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304533.3%15 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedb2…c0e4backed No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe947…7a45backed Yes65c91$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6617044.1%75 W · 95 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes68c90.94$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.11020%2 W · 8 L-3.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-69.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8607…2ccdbacked Yes73c87.19$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.541250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0157…0701backed Yes61c80.62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0faf…c0fcbacked Yes61c75.33$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ec4…226fbacked Yes68c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes42c65.48$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9830233.8%102 W · 200 L+19.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf2f…505cbacked Yes63c63.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.18425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-60.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72ad…3b11backed Yes66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09fe…76eebacked Yes73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.28741.4%36 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked No28c58.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.38440.5%34 W · 50 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed No37c54.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.984365.1%28 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…897cbacked Yes67c50.68$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.681216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-53.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdff5…22bcbacked Yes67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.78450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes70c44.24$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2745723.2%106 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb77…d6e4backed Yes71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfa…bc27backed No40c40.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b10…54bcbacked No30c38.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9361…faedbacked No32c35.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb99…8c33backed No45c34.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.669659.4%57 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96ed…a350backed Yes73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.251060%6 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+410.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc84…5785backed Yes69c31.63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f0…644abacked Yes70c29.3$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a49…3ceebacked Yes72c27.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.67650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e00…6228backed Yes74c27.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.16757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick74cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x508e…17f9backed Yes72c26.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5c…8fc6backed Yes71c25.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.47520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-71.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1820…367bbacked Yes75c25.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.213100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d16…598bbacked Yes61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.59650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f7…6036backed Yes70c22.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.864100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e8…1e7cbacked Yes72c21.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13cb…e1a6backed Yes71c21.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89bf…07cbbacked Yes77c20.83$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.833100%3 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd8…15c9backed Yes67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3d…56b9backed Yes80c18.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.77757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick73cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d83…c0c2backed Yes70c17.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.14771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0486…58e5backed Yes70c17.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.14666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d92…00eabacked Yes70c15.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.71683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e3a…1d15backed Yes70c15.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae10…233abacked Yes70c15.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.71366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc30d…12efbacked Yes70c15.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.71580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb300…fe9abacked Yes70c15.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8447…15ddbacked Yes70c15.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.713100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae0f…e31fbacked Yes70c15.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeca8…a073backed Yes70c15.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.