Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 1 Ghana?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cc5ddc8e29ca46330bb22f70a10e1e65107f55ab85b8d838bf0107c892fde47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 8c | 11,283$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.19 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Yes | 7c | 10,300$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 9,463$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.43 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5879…4a49backed Yes | 8c | 9,286$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Yes | 7c | 6,429$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4df…9db0backed Yes | 7c | 3,935$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.44 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…7288backed Yes | 8c | 3,685$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…24b1backed Yes | 15c | 3,243$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 7cpaid | +220.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…3d2fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,706$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.75 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 8c | 1,904$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.7 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9a…79b1backed Yes | 8c | 1,878$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7b…2e00backed Yes | 8c | 1,804$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…9900backed Yes | 8c | 1,416$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5823…8782backed Yes | 7c | 1,376$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 82 | 6.1%5 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,252$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…ee94backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…e104backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ed…63f4backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…44f8backed Yes | 8c | 1,237$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 7c | 1,229$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Yes | 7c | 1,133$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…fe3bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,071$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 71c | 1,067$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.13 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…17bfbacked Yes | 8c | 875$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 5c | 760.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Yes | 8c | 650$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 94 | 17%16 W · 78 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…ce09backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…cd31backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 205 | 11.7%24 W · 181 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9064…67e7backed Yes | 7c | 451$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a88…1fadbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…afc9backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8719…ce4fbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8f…be20backed Yes | 7c | 364.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 6c | 359.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 6c | 359.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 7c | 344.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 343$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 7c | 342.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…8253backed Yes | 8c | 314.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…ba31backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2f…4d6fbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 15.1%19 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f740backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…2e6dbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…15aabacked Yes | 8c | 241$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ef…f738backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…0c6fbacked Yes | 7c | 206.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 71 | 8.5%6 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e12…e508backed Yes | 7c | 200.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f7…1b4fbacked Yes | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…cb34backed Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 7c | 148$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 337 | 29.1%98 W · 239 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…9cdbbacked Yes | 8c | 134$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 315 | 43.5%137 W · 178 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f0…8ce2backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 1 Ghana?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 0 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 3 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 0 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 1 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 3 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 0 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 1 Ghana?Yes won
- Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 3 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 3 - 0 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 3 - 1 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 3 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 3 - 3 Ghana?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.