Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 0 Ghana?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd90d3aa75960656433e857644115b8e6613bd117963b4fb88d45084333c06e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 15,917$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.3 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Yes | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 76c | 3,697$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.1 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 22c | 3,644$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 11c | 2,133$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.62 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 14c | 2,130$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.8 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked No | 80c | 1,655$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.03 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,348$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.04 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.89 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…2ff1backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 15.8%19 W · 101 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42a…c7adbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 11c | 755.72$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.13 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 735$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 732.95$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.25 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…755bbacked Yes | 17c | 656.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4001…3fb3backed Yes | 22c | 584.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 528.5$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 3c | 519$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 11c | 451.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 22c | 450$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…ee94backed Yes | 23c | 431.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0950…2380backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 17.4%19 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…4e0abacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…630dbacked Yes | 12c | 305.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 126 | 22.2%28 W · 98 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10d…b67abacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…14c0backed Yes | 23c | 275.72$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 78c | 275.04$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc05a…532bbacked Yes | 12c | 241.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…3d1cbacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 11c | 199.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 12c | 191.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5816…8167backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…87f4backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 38.4%58 W · 93 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…c681backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +72%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…a7fcbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 23.7%28 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbc…30adbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…63efbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 17.3%17 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e7…5041backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Yes | 12c | 141.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…ef4abacked Yes | 12c | 139.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 12c | 138.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…89cabacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…2c34backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 30.2%39 W · 90 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…67dbbacked Yes | 11c | 102.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…9fbbbacked Yes | 10c | 100.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…1347backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 142 | 23.9%34 W · 108 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…cd31backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 205 | 11.7%24 W · 181 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb5…f8e7backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…fe3bbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd9…4e22backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…14c0backed Yes | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 26c | 41.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…523dbacked Yes | 25c | 40.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 0 Ghana?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 0 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 1 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 3 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 0 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 1 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 3 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 1 Ghana?Yes won
- Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 3 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 3 - 0 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 3 - 1 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 3 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 3 - 3 Ghana?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.