Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 0 Ghana?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76da6042e2f2d3334b11c299546f0e7c2732af3901e14a9e7b3deb29d05d1fa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 28,795$22,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,968.74 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 18,324$4,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,292.87 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Yes | 24c | 10,010$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.3 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 65c | 5,794$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.77 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Yes | 14c | 4,907$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.98 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5879…4a49backed Yes | 20c | 4,256$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.63 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Yes | 15c | 3,763$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.34 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 15c | 3,719$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.85 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Yes | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 68c | 3,299$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.43 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 15c | 3,249$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.34 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 16c | 3,070$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.2 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Yes | 13c | 2,799$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.31 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…17e8backed Yes | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,430$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.5 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a1…b1b0backed Yes | 44c | 2,279$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 179 | 59.2%106 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…dc69backed Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed Yes | 15c | 1,488$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.19 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,359$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.14 | 112 | 16.1%18 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,357$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.22 | 174 | 42%73 W · 101 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9104…92dbbacked Yes | 9c | 1,349$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5823…8782backed Yes | 15c | 1,288$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.14 | 82 | 6.1%5 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 15c | 1,288$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.14 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 15c | 1,268$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.23 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,110$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.69 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,010$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Yes | 14c | 989.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.61 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9a…79b1backed Yes | 15c | 949.67$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 19c | 926.12$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.13 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 39c | 871.22$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.97 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…f71dbacked Yes | 53c | 837.66$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.96 | 168 | 27.4%46 W · 122 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2f…4d6fbacked Yes | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 126 | 15.1%19 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 16c | 762$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…e104backed Yes | 15c | 666$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4df…9db0backed Yes | 15c | 629.73$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…6053backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 302 | 19.9%60 W · 242 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 20c | 609.92$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 50c | 604.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78b3…8031backed Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 7.1%7 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…5a3abacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 15c | 549.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 13c | 541.21$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 14c | 499.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 12c | 454.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes | 4c | 450$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 113 | 7.1%8 W · 105 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 78c | 434.53$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.45 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cd…0558backed Yes | 35c | 428.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…fe3bbacked Yes | 16c | 406.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd102…5201backed Yes | 15c | 377.47$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd6…77dabacked Yes | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 133 | 29.3%39 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…17bfbacked Yes | 15c | 366.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…453bbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…c681backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +72%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 14c | 317.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 311 | 32.2%100 W · 211 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0950…2380backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 17.4%19 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bce…82a5backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…a8efbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…7f29backed Yes | 17c | 312$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 13c | 311.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Yes | 16c | 304.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa752…e19fbacked Yes | 17c | 301.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…d2f6backed Yes | 53c | 293.62$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.62 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 22c | 291.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 38c | 287$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.85 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 78c | 270.9$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 17c | 267.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 69c | 252$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…424ebacked No | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 28c | 249.82$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 26c | 244$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 18c | 241.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…86c5backed Yes | 15c | 230.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10d…b67abacked Yes | 15c | 220$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 72c | 209.27$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…a5dfbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…8b76backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 15%18 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0c…5034backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…630dbacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 22.2%28 W · 98 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc05a…532bbacked Yes | 16c | 181.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 39c | 169$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes | 29c | 168.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…a7fcbacked Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 23.7%28 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 294 | 28.9%85 W · 209 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4496…97c0backed No | 61c | 164.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1a…89d0backed Yes | 19c | 159.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 0 Ghana?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 0 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 1 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 3 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 1 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 3 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 0 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 1 Ghana?Yes won
- Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 3 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 3 - 0 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 3 - 1 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 3 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Croatia 3 - 3 Ghana?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.