Champions League · resolved market
Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99700b642a0891fcbd1edad56ccdb27632be68be917a701035896340a0e9d51d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 78c | 999.95$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 77c | 899.94$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 23c | 825.98$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 77c | 639.2$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.2 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x158c…9164backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 76c | 479.13$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.73 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Yes | 22c | 449.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…40c5backed Yes | 24c | 417.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…1ee8backed Yes | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 62c | 394.74$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 76c | 340.56$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7976…e3c4backed Yes | 22c | 331.82$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…063ebacked Yes | 23c | 330$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 23c | 300.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ef…f738backed Yes | 23c | 219.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…8a90backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…8689backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…dc59backed Yes | 20c | 99.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…49dcbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 77c | 88.61$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 78c | 87.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 80c | 73.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 23c | 60.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 77c | 53.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb36…06c8backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 78c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…e8f7backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Bradley Barcola: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Desire Doue: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Gabriel Jesus: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Ibrahim Mbaye: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Kai Havertz: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Leandro Trossard: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Ousmane Dembele: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.