Champions League · resolved market
Kai Havertz: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4f7a3a38cfb29a5d6084d2c6002ae7c9a36e82ff8728949564a23006969fced
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 78c | 1,441$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.93 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 77c | 787.39$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.29 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes | 22c | 445.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 35cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 21c | 300$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.72 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…cbe2backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 75c | 290$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2770backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8a…35c5backed Yes | 22c | 147.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked No | 79c | 113.11$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x378d…18f8backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…cb95backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…ed8dbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3729…37b3backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4caa…b7dabacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 76c | 28.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +17.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed No | 78c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kai Havertz: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Bradley Barcola: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Bukayo Saka: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Desire Doue: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Gabriel Jesus: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Ibrahim Mbaye: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Leandro Trossard: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Ousmane Dembele: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.