Champions League · resolved market
Desire Doue: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aa062d1a5f9deca835672eee54a25c76e7ed935c4cc2b6fd9197e62fbb600b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 78c | 2,697$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.29 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 77c | 2,295$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.25 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b90…52aebacked Yes | 23c | 1,313$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.41 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 76c | 1,111$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.63 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 78c | 999.77$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.18 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65f5…9c8cbacked Yes | 23c | 652.89$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b1…7da1backed Yes | 22c | 513.64$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41aa…603abacked Yes | 22c | 494.68$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 77c | 455.09$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…cf0cbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Yes | 22c | 436.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad5…c7bebacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 77c | 371.2$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…0cc2backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…e118backed Yes | 23c | 199.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…185bbacked Yes | 24c | 190.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 22c | 175.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f94…da32backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…5016backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 22c | 127.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 79c | 126.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…2ce7backed Yes | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…4db8backed Yes | 24c | 120.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked No | 79c | 115.75$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 23c | 102.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…119bbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 22c | 99.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…6d3cbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…2675backed Yes | 24c | 86.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes | 22c | 84.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…48e0backed Yes | 24c | 77.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 77c | 69.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491b…8227backed Yes | 22c | 67.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6300…41adbacked Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 74c | 43.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a73…4877backed Yes | 24c | 41.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 78c | 40.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed No | 78c | 27.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 79c | 22.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 79c | 19.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed No | 77c | 17.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Desire Doue: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Bradley Barcola: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Bukayo Saka: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Gabriel Jesus: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Ibrahim Mbaye: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Kai Havertz: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Leandro Trossard: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Ousmane Dembele: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.