Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $230 September 8–14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ae9d940193ff99702499ddd87e9d7604e50cc46c8368f134914f91e16c6d9b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c5d…4197backed No | 22c | 46,442$10,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,392.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 68c | 18,550$12,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,854.79 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked Yes | 67c | 10,704$7,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570.42 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 15c | 6,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes | 62c | 6,280$3,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.88 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…0371backed Yes | 76c | 5,193$3,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.09 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 66c | 5,141$3,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.97 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb6…d7e9backed No | 44c | 4,106$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 69c | 4,000$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 62c | 2,433$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.58 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…f652backed No | 24c | 1,189$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.87 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Yes | 71c | 873.99$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.39 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…28e9backed No | 47c | 838.08$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.71 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…e746backed No | 29c | 831.28$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed No | 46c | 782.68$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.16 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 24c | 779$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.4 | 62 | 11.3%7 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…d7d4backed No | 35c | 711.77$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…a0a1backed No | 43c | 680$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.76 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 19c | 479$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed No | 17c | 453.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed No | 19c | 382.13$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…f72fbacked No | 18c | 310$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc932…3545backed Yes | 79c | 273$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf252…8208backed Yes | 74c | 191.94$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…2497backed No | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d3…bc19backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8309…67a2backed Yes | 70c | 139$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 18c | 116$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc9…1b56backed No | 41c | 72.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…6d29backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…120cbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf98…d0bfbacked No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa875…1cecbacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…1137backed Yes | 63c | 29.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa5…3c24backed Yes | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc829…8f06backed No | 48c | 21.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0031…586ebacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $230 September 8–14?this page
- Will Solana dip to $145 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana dip to $155 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana dip to $165 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana dip to $175 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana dip to $185 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana dip to $195 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana dip to $205 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana reach $220 September 8–14?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $240 September 8–14?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $250 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana reach $260 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana reach $270 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana reach $280 September 8–14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.