WNBA · resolved market
Sparks vs. Dream
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf96e8327891e4839f120347050673b039ee948b3cc048985f68920ecc5609c23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dreamof Sparks, Dream
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Sparks | 29c | 8,020$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.18 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Dream | 76c | 4,576$3,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sparks | 28c | 3,500$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Dream | 56c | 3,414$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.63 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Dream | 65c | 3,142$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.75 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Sparks | 35c | 3,080$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Dream | 73c | 3,011$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.07 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Dream | 72c | 2,766$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.32 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sparks | 36c | 2,384$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.74 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Sparks | 13c | 1,999$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.87 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Dream | 67c | 1,856$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.64 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Dream | 72c | 1,838$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dream | 73c | 1,771$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.46 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sparks | 23c | 1,763$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.62 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sparks | 14c | 1,553$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.7 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Dream | 72c | 1,472$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.11 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Dream | 74c | 1,347$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Sparks | 36c | 1,270$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.31 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dream | 70c | 1,267$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.54 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Sparks | 30c | 1,257$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Sparks | 35c | 1,136$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Sparks | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Sparks | 10c | 1,000$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Sparks | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Dream | 73c | 776$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.52 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Sparks | 24c | 682.04$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.92 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…c382backed Dream | 65c | 666.83$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Sparks | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dream | 64c | 460.89$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.05 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Dream | 73c | 460$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Dream | 74c | 417$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.33 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9612…9e99backed Dream | 73c | 408.22$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Sparks | 28c | 395.88$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Dream | 69c | 386.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.97 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Sparks | 41c | 385.6$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.78 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dream | 67c | 375.04$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.99 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sparks | 27c | 365.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sparks | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…b55ebacked Dream | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Dream | 70c | 296.64$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…b6e3backed Dream | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Dream | 73c | 268.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Dream | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…8994backed Dream | 65c | 169.58$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…a2b4backed Dream | 73c | 164.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Dream | 68c | 161.76$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Sparks | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Sparks | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Dream | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…1d59backed Dream | 72c | 141.1$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Dream | 74c | 125.8$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Sparks | 27c | 117$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Dream | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Sparks | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Sparks | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…5c6bbacked Dream | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed Sparks | 28c | 89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Sparks | 17c | 88.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Sparks | 27c | 82.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Dream | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1888…e1cbbacked Dream | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…b6f5backed Dream | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Sparks | 22c | 58.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sparks | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Dream | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…7bd1backed Dream | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…7c2fbacked Sparks | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Sparks | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…9a9fbacked Sparks | 33c | 37.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Dream | 69c | 26.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Dream | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Dream | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d3…a2b9backed Dream | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.