MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04e35a7d369709de8b165b414e2f537770125f73ecafbea18834478c3f969fcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rockies | 35c | 125,234$43,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,630.88 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Cubs | 65c | 85,904$56,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,820.69 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rockies | 34c | 68,313$23,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,350.23 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cubs | 65c | 35,000$22,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,250 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 66c | 30,045$19,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,215.45 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Cubs | 65c | 23,777$15,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,206.4 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cubs | 66c | 12,864$8,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,376.82 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 33c | 10,038$3,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.53 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Cubs | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cubs | 65c | 7,500$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…f1bdbacked Cubs | 66c | 5,266$3,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Cubs | 68c | 5,000$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.94 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Cubs | 68c | 4,926$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.47 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs | 73c | 4,358$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.64 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 67c | 4,339$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.89 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs | 66c | 4,200$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rockies | 34c | 3,854$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.36 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d8…5744backed Rockies | 32c | 3,722$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.89 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Rockies | 32c | 3,044$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.23 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Rockies | 35c | 2,564$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.11 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Rockies | 34c | 1,798$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs | 66c | 1,737$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.59 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Rockies | 17c | 1,733$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.34 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Rockies | 31c | 1,678$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.18 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Rockies | 32c | 1,503$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b0…b2dcbacked Cubs | 68c | 1,485$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Rockies | 22c | 1,269$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.22 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 5c | 1,258$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies | 32c | 1,023$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.36 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Rockies | 32c | 1,016$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cubs | 78c | 1,010$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Cubs | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cubs | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rockies | 17c | 976.79$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.05 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies | 33c | 909$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Cubs | 66c | 804.12$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.4 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 68c | 800$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Cubs | 66c | 740$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.6 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Rockies | 32c | 694$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.08 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rockies | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cubs | 68c | 599.96$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.19 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rockies | 32c | 582.52$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.12 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…7911backed Cubs | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies | 31c | 510.54$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.27 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rockies | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies | 32c | 482$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.24 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cubs | 69c | 350.72$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…eb7cbacked Rockies | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Cubs | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Cubs | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Cubs | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cubs | 67c | 292$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.36 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…b55ebacked Cubs | 67c | 261.76$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.38 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Rockies | 32c | 207$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Rockies | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Cubs | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rockies | 19c | 180$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…2d38backed Cubs | 68c | 176.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Cubs | 66c | 170$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Rockies | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Cubs | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Cubs | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cubs | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cubs | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Cubs | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Cubs | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cubs | 65c | 144$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies | 16c | 138.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Cubs | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Cubs | 70c | 133.9$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…3d8fbacked Cubs | 69c | 130.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Cubs | 68c | 102$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Rockies | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Cubs | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e0…f941backed Cubs | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Cubs | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Rockies | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Cubs | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5431…d00fbacked Rockies | 32c | 84.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Cubs | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Rockies | 32c | 79.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Rockies | 32c | 77.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rockies | 27c | 76.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…8ebcbacked Cubs | 69c | 76.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockies | 32c | 72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…b172backed Rockies | 32c | 69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rockies | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Rockies | 34c | 62.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Cubs | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Rockies | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Cubs | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Cubs | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cubs | 68c | 57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Cubs | 66c | 52.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Cubs | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Rockies | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Rockies | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cubs vs. Rockiesthis page
- Cubs vs. Rockies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Spread: Cubs (-2.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.