MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f3d6a778becfe698fd680cbdaad733a7aa3ee97d3999c399b0e1da2c226a390
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Nationals, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 415 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 46c | 58,848$27,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,270.02 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 53c | 37,676$19,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,712.39 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Marlins | 53c | 19,280$10,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,014.49 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Nationals | 48c | 14,777$7,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,092.96 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Marlins | 52c | 14,420$7,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,921.6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 77c | 8,026$6,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.8 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Nationals | 47c | 7,459$3,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.53 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Nationals | 47c | 7,404$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 20c | 6,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad9…7e5bbacked Nationals | 0c | 5,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Marlins | 58c | 4,980$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.88 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Marlins | 54c | 4,505$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.36 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Marlins | 51c | 4,483$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.89 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 53c | 4,432$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.14 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 53c | 3,594$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.49 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Marlins | 52c | 3,348$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.93 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nationals | 47c | 2,222$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.34 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Marlins | 53c | 2,086$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.18 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Marlins | 54c | 1,961$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.06 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Marlins | 73c | 1,829$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.83 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Marlins | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Marlins | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.04 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Nationals | 47c | 940$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Nationals | 47c | 862.55$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.4 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Marlins | 52c | 826.29$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.62 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 47c | 800.36$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.77 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 45c | 800.16$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.82 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 25c | 791.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Nationals | 19c | 787.11$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 53c | 754$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.38 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 47c | 752.21$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.54 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Nationals | 18c | 748.13$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.06 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Marlins | 51c | 728$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.72 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Nationals | 49c | 651.02$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Marlins | 77c | 620$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.2 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Nationals | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Marlins | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Marlins | 78c | 576.96$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.14 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Marlins | 51c | 515.05$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.84 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked Nationals | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Marlins | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Marlins | 55c | 450$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked Marlins | 76c | 450$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Nationals | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Nationals | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…ae68backed Marlins | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…c35abacked Marlins | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…fdfdbacked Nationals | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3813…4231backed Nationals | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…1973backed Nationals | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38b5…30b1backed Nationals | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc9…ac33backed Marlins | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177b…6c2cbacked Nationals | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…32f4backed Marlins | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f77…3a4abacked Nationals | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…17cfbacked Marlins | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…3258backed Marlins | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…59a1backed Nationals | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700c…9ea2backed Nationals | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc1…95a4backed Marlins | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa547…c99cbacked Marlins | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…693dbacked Nationals | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad7…672cbacked Nationals | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea46…065abacked Nationals | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1926…add2backed Marlins | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…940abacked Marlins | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5e…8890backed Marlins | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 46c | 399.95$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Marlins | 52c | 384.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.81 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a69…a85abacked Nationals | 48c | 366.65$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Marlins | 51c | 313$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.37 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 47c | 290.87$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.71 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1338…f574backed Marlins | 66c | 290.13$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Marlins | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 76c | 277.21$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marlins | 51c | 275.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.91 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Marlins | 77c | 261.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nationals | 18c | 252$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c8…9be5backed Marlins | 52c | 251.92$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.92 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Marlins | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nationals | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Nationals | 24c | 225$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…1063backed Nationals | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Nationals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Marlins | 55c | 211.52$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.19 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Nationals | 47c | 209.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…a9e7backed Nationals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Marlins | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Marlins | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Marlins | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Nationals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Marlins | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked Nationals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6f65backed Nationals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…18cfbacked Nationals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…502ebacked Nationals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcd…8364backed Nationals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nationals vs. Marlinsthis page
- NRFI: Nationals vs. MarlinsNo won
- Nationals vs. Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Marlins (-1.5)Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.