WNBA · resolved market
Mystics vs. Liberty
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa95be834fd1d0106eea5e168f5dd3a38f0043c35ad7aabe7a353594ce2744eda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Libertyof Mystics, Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Mystics | 31c | 12,278$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.9 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Liberty | 77c | 9,573$7,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.52 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mystics | 20c | 9,105$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.39 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Liberty | 74c | 6,061$4,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.33 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Mystics | 16c | 5,438$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mystics | 23c | 4,600$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.5 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Mystics | 16c | 4,277$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.36 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Liberty | 79c | 3,981$3,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.37 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…9530backed Mystics | 13c | 3,174$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mystics | 22c | 2,299$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.17 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Liberty | 76c | 1,672$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Liberty | 78c | 1,626$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.28 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Mystics | 16c | 1,529$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.9 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liberty | 74c | 1,413$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.59 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mystics | 14c | 1,344$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.84 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Mystics | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mystics | 15c | 808$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.16 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Mystics | 15c | 773.33$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Mystics | 18c | 762$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Liberty | 79c | 672.65$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Mystics | 23c | 626.2$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.18 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mystics | 21c | 622.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.07 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Liberty | 80c | 608.53$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.71 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mystics | 17c | 580.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mystics | 24c | 540$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Liberty | 75c | 506.97$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.94 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Liberty | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Liberty | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Mystics | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Liberty | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Liberty | 80c | 436.04$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.52 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mystics | 25c | 403.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…b55ebacked Liberty | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Liberty | 76c | 328.12$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Liberty | 77c | 313$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mystics | 13c | 311.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mystics | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Liberty | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Liberty | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Liberty | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mystics | 20c | 239.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Mystics | 24c | 205$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mystics | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Liberty | 74c | 199.97$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Mystics | 13c | 188$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Mystics | 13c | 151.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Mystics | 17c | 150.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mystics | 8c | 147.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5d…f50cbacked Mystics | 13c | 144.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Liberty | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…79c7backed Mystics | 24c | 125.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Liberty | 70c | 121.25$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Liberty | 69c | 116.94$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…b328backed Mystics | 17c | 114.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…e33abacked Mystics | 23c | 106.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…0c58backed Liberty | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Mystics | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…d9efbacked Mystics | 22c | 81.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 51cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Liberty | 80c | 79.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Mystics | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Liberty | 69c | 72.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Mystics | 25c | 49.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Mystics | 33c | 40.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Liberty | 80c | 33.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…0f7ebacked Liberty | 80c | 22.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.