WNBA · resolved market
Liberty vs. Valkyries
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf54da9ea0992f36c573bbcb38899e92495788c79a00958893d7c9f2708739af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valkyriesof Liberty, Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Liberty | 25c | 9,774$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.74 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Liberty | 71c | 7,399$5,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,240.27 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries | 29c | 7,300$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,162.48 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Valkyries | 78c | 7,267$5,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.69 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Liberty | 28c | 6,216$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.84 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Valkyries | 32c | 6,121$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,145.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…ff17backed Valkyries | 76c | 3,919$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Liberty | 12c | 3,748$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.93 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Liberty | 68c | 2,843$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.45 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liberty | 14c | 2,588$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.72 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Liberty | 71c | 2,577$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.41 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Liberty | 1c | 2,565$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Valkyries | 39c | 2,539$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.48 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Valkyries | 31c | 1,879$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.68 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Liberty | 68c | 1,862$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.5 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Liberty | 27c | 1,523$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.06 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Valkyries | 30c | 1,489$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Liberty | 70c | 1,464$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.63 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Liberty | 48c | 1,150$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.11 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Valkyries | 30c | 1,042$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.17 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Liberty | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Valkyries | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Liberty | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Liberty | 17c | 985.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.38 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Liberty | 70c | 830.17$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Valkyries | 79c | 633.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Valkyries | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Valkyries | 29c | 599.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Valkyries | 31c | 510.65$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.35 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…6e04backed Valkyries | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Liberty | 69c | 399.97$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.98 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Liberty | 62c | 357$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Valkyries | 75c | 346$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Valkyries | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Valkyries | 31c | 323.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.66 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Valkyries | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Liberty | 53c | 304.43$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Liberty | 12c | 280.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Liberty | 67c | 250$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Valkyries | 31c | 220.65$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Valkyries | 45c | 195.89$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.98 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Valkyries | 31c | 191$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.12 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Liberty | 73c | 185.81$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 77cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Liberty | 70c | 179$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…713dbacked Valkyries | 30c | 170$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…b55ebacked Valkyries | 80c | 169.41$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Liberty | 72c | 168.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Valkyries | 33c | 146.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.13 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Valkyries | 33c | 143.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.87 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f5…ee20backed Liberty | 71c | 139.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Liberty | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Liberty | 35c | 100.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Valkyries | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Liberty | 71c | 99.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Valkyries | 30c | 98.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Valkyries | 28c | 97.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…5543backed Liberty | 47c | 94.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Liberty | 53c | 94.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Liberty | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Valkyries | 32c | 85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Valkyries | 65c | 83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Liberty | 68c | 80.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Liberty | 69c | 72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Valkyries | 28c | 71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Liberty | 70c | 63.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Liberty | 62c | 59.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ec…7c9abacked Liberty | 71c | 56.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3c…767fbacked Valkyries | 30c | 55.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Valkyries | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +200.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Liberty | 35c | 43.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…a19fbacked Liberty | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d3…a2b9backed Valkyries | 64c | 36.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Valkyries | 28c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…7bd1backed Liberty | 73c | 35.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…0fb2backed Valkyries | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…5c6bbacked Liberty | 74c | 33.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Liberty | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2a…1e5cbacked Liberty | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f30…72debacked Liberty | 70c | 20.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.