Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 20-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b911a4baca595a931ca3a613a095ac75a6bc59b45c0053217ccd452780f48a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $307,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $284,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Yes | 0c | 47,010$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 36c | 23,643$8,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,169.72 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b6…80b9backed Yes | 62c | 12,936$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…2bf1backed No | 52c | 11,994$6,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,706.25 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d34…5aaebacked Yes | 66c | 9,930$6,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,584.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 13c | 8,887$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.6 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 80c | 7,000$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Yes | 23c | 5,433$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 36c | 5,394$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.23 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 63c | 5,045$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.88 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9066…c20abacked Yes | 42c | 4,952$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.04 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 47c | 4,393$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.72 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Yes | 13c | 4,041$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,384$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 33c | 2,695$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.98 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 69c | 2,367$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.09 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…5084backed No | 41c | 2,244$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 35c | 2,010$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.75 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…3504backed Yes | 39c | 1,845$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 3c | 1,839$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 65c | 1,721$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.57 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd2…48e6backed No | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 1c | 1,635$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 29c | 1,453$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.52 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 17cpaid | -96.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed No | 35c | 1,305$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.01 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd0…db0dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,260$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f1…f2ddbacked Yes | 9c | 1,234$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…de81backed Yes | 11c | 914.81$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67dc…a64bbacked No | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…6771backed No | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…ec20backed Yes | 41c | 754.55$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 34c | 723.68$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.49 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f29…523ebacked Yes | 3c | 596.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…41d8backed No | 68c | 579.24$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x010b…81dcbacked Yes | 22c | 541.15$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.43 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 38c | 467.35$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.27 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 41c | 466.88$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.41 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 8c | 426.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…1b8ebacked No | 25c | 405.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked No | 19c | 357.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.54 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…feeabacked No | 54c | 327.66$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.97 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…cf9abacked No | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d3debacked No | 53c | 262$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb824…bbcfbacked Yes | 35c | 255.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.06 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x405e…de7ebacked Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 29c | 213.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.49 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…9795backed Yes | 37c | 202.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ee…e354backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e08…3bd4backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29e…fd62backed No | 22c | 178.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…8304backed No | 38c | 159.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.29 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…1517backed Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…b55ebacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…d4debacked No | 77c | 126.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52d…3728backed No | 61c | 125$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…c706backed No | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…026dbacked No | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…2f88backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…a21abacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x754f…4e38backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3821…8e87backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…c18abacked Yes | 41c | 94.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 62c | 89.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x958b…61ecbacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 33c | 64.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1c…7e02backed Yes | 27c | 64.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…6158backed Yes | 63c | 63.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…99d0backed No | 31c | 62.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2717…a007backed Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8880…3eaabacked No | 41c | 51.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…61dabacked Yes | 65c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfe…e3e0backed Yes | 36c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…d05dbacked Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 35c | 38.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3959…79c0backed Yes | 69c | 28.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…4156backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…9beabacked Yes | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa4…a1bfbacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb839…6f4fbacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…e844backed Yes | 71c | 19.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…8ff3backed Yes | 69c | 15.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…9e42backed Yes | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 20-26?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 October 20-26?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $102,000 October 20-26?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 October 20-26?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $108,000 October 20-26?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $96,000 October 20-26?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $98,000 October 20-26?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $112,000 October 20-26?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $114,000 October 20-26?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 October 20-26?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 October 20-26?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 October 20-26?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 October 20-26?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 October 20-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.