Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 October 20-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ec84de51395a6a285e2b5827aeb8739ea90343e52dd9fbc62583e4c02331fb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $502,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $509,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $502,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 18c | 17,372$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.59 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 16c | 10,160$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.4 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 13c | 9,156$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.58 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 7,803$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.08 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 15c | 6,649$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Yes | 14c | 6,575$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 66c | 5,827$3,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.74 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x656c…d10bbacked Yes | 43c | 5,570$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff96…9004backed Yes | 22c | 4,440$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09c…f710backed No | 77c | 4,131$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 49c | 3,300$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1352…4da4backed Yes | 4c | 3,114$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b52…654bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,063$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…8406backed Yes | 23c | 2,930$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 2c | 2,700$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Yes | 12c | 2,671$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…87a0backed Yes | 3c | 2,519$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2069…c7cfbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 31c | 2,400$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…0371backed No | 74c | 2,352$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.94 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9066…c20abacked Yes | 36c | 2,194$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.41 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 6c | 2,078$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.39 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda2c…4168backed Yes | 3c | 1,987$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 15c | 1,971$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.83 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 4c | 1,860$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3ce1backed Yes | 3c | 1,852$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 9.5%13 W · 124 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 3c | 1,780$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae88…b4b4backed Yes | 8c | 1,688$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 4c | 1,680$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 39c | 1,564$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.14 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f7…fb04backed Yes | 9c | 1,119$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,088$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 66c | 1,022$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.64 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…52c2backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.18 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…04cebacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…ec20backed Yes | 23c | 958.71$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0841…e9f9backed Yes | 2c | 948.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…83dbbacked Yes | 4c | 887.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 32c | 832$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.12 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd6…23f8backed Yes | 13c | 828.58$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 18c | 807.17$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.94 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 17cpaid | -96.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Yes | 14c | 750$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…ddcabacked Yes | 37c | 745.1$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.69 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x526c…cfabbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +274.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd150…5983backed Yes | 3c | 645.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Yes | 3c | 634.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Yes | 21c | 625$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe61f…f07abacked Yes | 5c | 613.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ee…e354backed Yes | 7c | 583.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c2…0e8cbacked Yes | 5c | 576.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b69…e9a0backed Yes | 18c | 569.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 10c | 514.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…6c6bbacked Yes | 4c | 461.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 73c | 453.88$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.07 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x525d…fa24backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 39c | 422.17$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.31 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…2f88backed No | 60c | 400$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…feeabacked Yes | 30c | 399.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 42c | 367.51$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.15 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 13c | 365.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aba…af7cbacked Yes | 4c | 330$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…ae5fbacked Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 14c | 300.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be3…724dbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…f33bbacked Yes | 7c | 297.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…6df5backed Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…ce22backed Yes | 16c | 286.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 83 | 7.2%6 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…cbd5backed No | 78c | 264.45$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 4c | 250.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405e…de7ebacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d3debacked No | 75c | 250$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…6697backed Yes | 23c | 237.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…b683backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x096e…3fa6backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d4…99f8backed Yes | 16c | 211.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095c…7dd0backed Yes | 23c | 208.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 77c | 205.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7856…f39abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cc…9b43backed Yes | 7c | 199.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc425…5c7cbacked Yes | 6c | 190$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 11c | 182.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…d67cbacked Yes | 16c | 180$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…1957backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb824…bbcfbacked Yes | 25c | 165.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…cbfdbacked Yes | 16c | 162.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…0aaebacked Yes | 24c | 146$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ba…96c1backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a18…badcbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b33…11d0backed Yes | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 15c | 136.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…46d1backed Yes | 8c | 136.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…8c29backed Yes | 8c | 134.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bd…169abacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…86f9backed Yes | 23c | 124.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…7581backed Yes | 14c | 109.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2154…715cbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…a21abacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 October 20-26?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 October 20-26?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $102,000 October 20-26?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 October 20-26?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 20-26?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $108,000 October 20-26?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $96,000 October 20-26?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $98,000 October 20-26?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $112,000 October 20-26?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $114,000 October 20-26?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 October 20-26?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 October 20-26?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 October 20-26?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 October 20-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.