TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Guardians vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Guardians, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,315
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,117

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,315 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Guardians41c20,181$8,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,274.0538043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Guardians41c19,111$7,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,835.5160249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Rangers59c15,000$8,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,15048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Rangers59c12,000$7,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,92030255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rangers59c6,301$3,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.2863152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb31…cd36backed Guardians41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.963135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers59c4,756$2,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.772,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Rangers59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,64055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Rangers59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6406845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Guardians41c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce13…a213backed Rangers59c3,621$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.611855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Rangers47c3,550$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.754345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Guardians41c3,038$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.543554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Guardians42c2,217$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93198149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Guardians70c2,000$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39043946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Rangers50c1,991$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.9321747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Rangers50c1,733$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.161,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Rangers58c1,252$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9414444.4%64 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Guardians41c1,135$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.2423455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers51c998.4$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.19,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rangers59c936$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.491,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Guardians41c900$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36983248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers42c864.65$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.312,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers57c803.06$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.031,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Guardians46c784.78$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36130842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians21c774.29$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Guardians41c749.99$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.530850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Guardians40c709.59$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.8443949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Rangers59c677.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.9766645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Guardians50c669$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.579740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Rangers58c580$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.626949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Rangers60c532.25$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.98052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers58c525.54$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.521,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Rangers41c508.12$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.1939739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x391e…5b83backed Guardians42c495.24$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c3c…2807backed Rangers59c494.92$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.921957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Guardians42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Rangers59c450$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.565549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Guardians42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.982,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcb…302bbacked Guardians64c311.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Guardians59c308.33$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18211331.9%36 W · 77 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Guardians43c296.89$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3870946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Guardians39c287.77$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2331347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Guardians18c276.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017930.2%54 W · 125 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Rangers59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.51,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Guardians40c249.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Rangers59c245$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4540548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…08a6backed Guardians43c240$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.24337.2%16 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rangers45c224.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.591,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers59c219.51$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4680…b33dbacked Guardians29c206.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.993438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Guardians42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Guardians40c199.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8018249.5%90 W · 92 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Guardians40c199.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rangers59c197$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.551,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rangers61c196.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7299951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3921…db37backed Guardians54c183.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Guardians41c181.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.591,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians60c180.22$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.264,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Rangers58c170$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.412258.2%71 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Rangers59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4912459.7%74 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers61c150$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.612,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Rangers60c133.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3354455.1%300 W · 244 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Rangers59c127.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1278454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rangers54c125$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5445749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebdf…1fcbbacked Rangers59c124.07$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.871060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8617…e460backed Guardians61c116.55$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Guardians43c116.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025551%130 W · 125 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a2…9bbabacked Guardians44c116.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8913740.1%55 W · 82 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc655…8467backed Guardians41c111$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5124351.4%125 W · 118 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c4…4493backed Rangers44c110$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.617850%89 W · 89 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians44c104$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5176456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Guardians21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2145732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Rangers59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4113151.9%68 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Rangers54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4668769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Rangers45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5517243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Guardians46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4630740.4%124 W · 183 L-11.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked Guardians41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4115543.9%68 W · 87 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62f…f330backed Rangers59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4114649.3%72 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Rangers62c95.47$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.285955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Guardians42c91.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2546631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Guardians41c86.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4466250.2%332 W · 330 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rangers65c82$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3647745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians41c81.87$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.571,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6082…6ce2backed Guardians42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.618148.6%88 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeae7…1884backed Guardians64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70d9…26ebbacked Rangers53c75.55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5515756.1%88 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Rangers59c71.19$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.191,29956.7%737 W · 562 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e8…77c4backed Rangers59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.88456%47 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Rangers61c66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7411961.3%73 W · 46 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b4b…94d4backed Rangers58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.225155.4%139 W · 112 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf913…5543backed Rangers46c56$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1316140.4%65 W · 96 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Guardians76c52.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020367%136 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f2d…e348backed Rangers58c51.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7318159.1%107 W · 74 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…751ebacked Rangers59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.852365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…ff23backed Guardians41c49.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.478355.4%46 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Guardians41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051245.1%231 W · 281 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Rangers59c46.53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.089550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.