MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb613f42ef46e20b84fa418fbe29d0af64e935e4ac0af6a93c4c566ae825494fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 69c | 10,123$6,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,160.87 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 38c | 4,034$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rays | 48c | 3,396$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.5 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rays | 61c | 3,208$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.89 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Rays | 26c | 1,887$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.12 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Guardians | 43c | 1,486$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.04 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Rays | 59c | 1,461$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Rays | 56c | 1,417$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.47 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…102ebacked Guardians | 43c | 1,202$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rays | 19c | 1,190$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.83 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Guardians | 54c | 1,093$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.37 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Rays | 54c | 1,061$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.68 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Rays | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Guardians | 74c | 1,028$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.72 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Rays | 56c | 1,004$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.22 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rays | 54c | 935.62$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.24 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rays | 30c | 904.94$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.39 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Guardians | 45c | 881$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rays | 56c | 816.56$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.27 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Guardians | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 56c | 714$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rays | 54c | 623$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.9 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Rays | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.96 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Rays | 56c | 512.39$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.94 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rays | 38c | 510$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.1 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Rays | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Guardians | 43c | 464.98$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.74 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Guardians | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Guardians | 44c | 454.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.54 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Guardians | 45c | 445$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.75 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Rays | 61c | 402.39$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.46 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Rays | 21c | 380$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1451…2915backed Rays | 57c | 378.95$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…dc44backed Guardians | 45c | 377.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.78 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Guardians | 42c | 360.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.88 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Rays | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Rays | 55c | 312.6$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.93 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Guardians | 44c | 294.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.89 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Guardians | 45c | 282.88$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.58 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rays | 55c | 281.96$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.33 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Guardians | 46c | 280.82$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.64 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Guardians | 45c | 275.11$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.31 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Rays | 54c | 259.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.39 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Guardians | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Guardians | 78c | 231$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Guardians | 44c | 227$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rays | 43c | 222.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Rays | 55c | 220$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Rays | 60c | 219.63$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rays | 55c | 216.36$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…e822backed Rays | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcde…dc58backed Rays | 57c | 201.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6f65backed Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…3a07backed Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…5daebacked Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…02fabacked Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…3068backed Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…963ebacked Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…e84cbacked Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cca…6c96backed Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed1…d738backed Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a6…835abacked Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…55e1backed Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…f8bdbacked Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b1…9335backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c32…7ff0backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…d9d0backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…f463backed Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…46aebacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…1430backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…5b89backed Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…661fbacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…fdfabacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…7beabacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…6b50backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…e04bbacked Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2206backed Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…1809backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e10…5a63backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8825…d29ebacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…c4ddbacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…ae68backed Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf149…b05ebacked Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1a…feabbacked Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…8801backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bc…1d5ebacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2d…b430backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…efc9backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…07eebacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Guardians vs. Raysthis page
- Guardians vs. Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.