TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Nuggets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof Jazz, Nuggets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,893,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,896,753

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,893,919 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked Jazz15c310,208$45,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,137.5851844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc9…26fbbacked Jazz15c225,000$32,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,649.974456.8%25 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Jazz9c169,338$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00034062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Jazz15c141,634$21,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,245.1587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Jazz14c90,096$12,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,613.4622453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Jazz8c60,000$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,65038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Jazz15c40,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00035235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Jazz15c30,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03a9…37babacked Jazz15c29,841$4,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,476.0910547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jazz0c25,060$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.028820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Jazz12c21,974$2,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,737.691,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc0…a8a0backed Jazz12c20,185$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-35.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x708d…8a09backed Jazz4c16,500$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58621923.7%52 W · 167 L+0.5wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Jazz1c16,350$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1364517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Jazz15c14,660$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,19923245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Jazz0c14,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Jazz15c12,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Jazz2c11,600$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.976931.9%22 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Jazz15c9,990$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.518045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Jazz13c9,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17047535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Jazz11c8,777$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.4336741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jazz3c8,505$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2371,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz14c7,550$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0571,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz14c7,265$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.932,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x624c…0cc7backed Jazz6c7,100$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4363737.8%14 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz0c7,061$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.828783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz14c7,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz12c6,645$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.9947028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jazz0c6,140$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.291,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Jazz1c6,120$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.96224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce3…9d85backed Jazz1c5,983$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3120%0 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa721…b3f0backed Jazz7c5,752$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004542.2%19 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jazz2c5,101$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9581529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Jazz6c4,021$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24040536.5%148 W · 257 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz0c4,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz6c3,649$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.458,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Jazz15c3,336$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xede7…5d69backed Jazz15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Jazz16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Jazz6c2,900$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3231430.3%95 W · 219 L-1.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf247…e269backed Jazz2c2,782$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024731.2%77 W · 170 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Jazz7c2,721$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.0537930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz15c2,716$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.372,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcccb…e141backed Jazz3c2,715$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.63180%0 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Jazz15c2,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Jazz9c2,620$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23016532.7%54 W · 111 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2838…fdd3backed Jazz14c2,500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Jazz2c2,460$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4047134.2%161 W · 310 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed Jazz13c2,308$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Jazz2c2,308$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33d…c852backed Jazz16c2,242$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.313933.3%13 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Jazz12c2,228$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.4125840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Jazz14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0235531.8%113 W · 242 L+1.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Jazz13c2,126$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28650838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed7d…5852backed Jazz1c2,103$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235637.5%21 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Jazz13c2,019$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.142,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Jazz2c2,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42c…c46bbacked Jazz2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick29cpaid+54.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Nuggets80c1,974$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.091,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Jazz13c1,862$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.2440035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Jazz15c1,600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24026755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5165…252bbacked Jazz1c1,500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3605…1ae1backed Jazz8c1,467$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12223043%99 W · 131 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b8d…6724backed Jazz7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023140.3%93 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cf0…3156backed Jazz10c1,400$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13550338.4%193 W · 310 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Jazz14c1,400$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20221538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b8…ca3fbacked Jazz3c1,379$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab15…b063backed Jazz1c1,333$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101010%1 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-81.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd35…66c2backed Jazz3c1,322$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3718317.5%32 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Jazz14c1,318$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8962347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3b…f1c5backed Jazz3c1,290$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510426.9%28 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e6b…570bbacked Jazz14c1,250$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Jazz7c1,239$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.748146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Jazz16c1,202$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3853539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Jazz6c1,194$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Jazz15c1,167$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17526729.2%78 W · 189 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0155…a6ffbacked Jazz14c1,114$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563528.6%10 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fdb…6404backed Jazz9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053141.8%222 W · 309 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Jazz13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13043543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d97…d461backed Jazz15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Jazz15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed Jazz12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12032827.4%90 W · 238 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Jazz15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15062546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb800…e43abacked Jazz19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905837.9%22 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd482…b402backed Jazz2c999.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206634.8%23 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e7…85a1backed Jazz15c960$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14419556.9%111 W · 84 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x12c3…a470backed Jazz12c883.33$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1076631.8%21 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Jazz8c873.57$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.634227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9447…7820backed Jazz5c845.45$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456630.3%20 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…e73fbacked Jazz12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012531.2%39 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4850…a765backed Jazz7c800$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1460…d60bbacked Jazz6c769.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4813333.8%45 W · 88 L+0.4wins0.00per pick34cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c86…288cbacked Jazz9c760$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.19242.4%39 W · 53 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Jazz1c751.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5530616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x558d…180ebacked Jazz14c714.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022041.4%91 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Jazz14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10062652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…6817backed Jazz8c708.95$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.068426.2%22 W · 62 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd88c…8465backed Jazz2c708.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122832.5%74 W · 154 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Jazz15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Jazz14c699.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9838434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.