TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 248.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,819 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb230…4193backed Over53c10,252$5,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,433.6119351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a3…e321backed Under66c7,858$5,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,681.588100%8 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+237.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Under56c5,444$3,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,409.66352.4%33 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over50c5,410$2,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70520055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53010057%57 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c2,242$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.739,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over44c2,111$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.9926753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80021852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under71c1,486$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.31,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c1,361$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.124,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c1,294$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.815,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under34c837$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.622,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Over19c631$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8939018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30621858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Under49c523.22$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.8435651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Over59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015244.1%67 W · 85 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2505952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Under46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27040952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5520…32ffbacked Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10440%0 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c498.09$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.328,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under41c491.47$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.153,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Over56c470.56$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.5125039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under44c450$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25228751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc757…f18cbacked Over41c439.63$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.258661.6%53 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under65c422.71$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4831144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over52c372.14$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5122055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under49c366.27$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.2762347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under50c338$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1692,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Under46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16236854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under49c256.52$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.832,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under49c240$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.434451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Over46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.223748.1%114 W · 123 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3924556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c210.73$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.151,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Over52c210.42$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4211656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x93a7…8db6backed Over7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144413.6%6 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…1943backed Under34c194.35$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9620150.7%102 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under46c191.48$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.43,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c177.15$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.182,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over44c173.78$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.461,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over50c173.11$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5650347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x042a…7f4cbacked Under53c166.38$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.23441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Under49c159$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0950047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Under50c153.62$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8151146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8138347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under46c130.79$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4493849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.21,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.423153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under44c114.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.251,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under50c113$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.563745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Under46c110.87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8712454%67 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…a81bbacked Under53c107.09$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.031957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f02…1505backed Over51c107$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a20…af22backed Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36c7…d6b4backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511520%3 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37f1…d157backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x474b…c5b1backed Under46c96.5$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.119050%45 W · 45 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8af0…1929backed Under46c96.5$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.112152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under51c96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.041,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under48c95.37$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.243,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…56b6backed Over47c92.09$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.283641.7%15 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.962349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.971747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Under44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.854838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6758…adb7backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ed…f28dbacked Under53c75.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.311450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under53c74.55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.31,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over56c72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.493,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under49c72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7231754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under49c72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7234254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under46c68.87$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1942551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5748…7b81backed Under44c63.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6414751%75 W · 72 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a61…520cbacked Under46c56$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.24933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88ab…70cdbacked Under55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under49c54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5434053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under49c54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5433147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under49c54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5487647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa30d…e0b1backed Under46c51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2595548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5373…e46bbacked Under46c48.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.068744.8%39 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Under45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4418347.5%87 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.482,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under46c40.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8741354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.428852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.411464.9%74 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5ad…5a42backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208452.4%44 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3623753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3627350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3622048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6432649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3631250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3623850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3627251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3625250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3636651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3631852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3627353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3631551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3627150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under49c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5412545.6%57 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.