Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Le Moyne Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67c5a9d869e200fecb008f7ed2cd03a1c1414d8e97dae68986867c7663bf0d9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Le Moyne Dolphinsof Niagara Purple Eagles, Le Moyne Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 48c | 998.61$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.85 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 51c | 691$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.59 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 54c | 386.29$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.1 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…99b3backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 55c | 210$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344c…8bc4backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 45c | 210$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…259ebacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…b657backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x590c…eacfbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcb…6c4dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9f…0bf5backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e4…3d16backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…2a7dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5849…4807backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…b5fbbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681f…ca51backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb14d…ca32backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd6…1885backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…bbe3backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 51c | 190$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…0d56backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 49c | 190$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a36…d476backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 44c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…bf0abacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 56c | 140$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…d964backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 55c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa86…f499backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 51c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae56…3acdbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb17f…60eebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 51c | 29.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8b…9ad2backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 50c | 22.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x337e…d7f3backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 50c | 22.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 48c | 22.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | -10.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6d…e4f4backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 51c | 21.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319d…6f66backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 49c | 21.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.