NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a5a9be2044986b9dc544446a09aa6ac0eda7362cac4a57c91ce1ba29845a74e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Sabres, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $299,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Sabres | 42c | 69,685$29,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,267.61 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x145c…43bcbacked Canadiens | 58c | 62,000$35,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,040 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Canadiens | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Sabres | 42c | 24,495$10,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,287.73 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Canadiens | 64c | 22,436$14,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,157.28 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…20a6backed Sabres | 42c | 15,199$6,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,383.46 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Sabres | 45c | 14,546$6,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,534.96 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Canadiens | 58c | 11,215$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.82 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…6e64backed Sabres | 42c | 9,500$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Sabres | 42c | 8,995$3,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,777.82 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…1b07backed Canadiens | 58c | 8,000$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…047abacked Sabres | 43c | 7,500$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sabres | 17c | 7,140$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.49 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Canadiens | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.99 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4052…eb90backed Canadiens | 58c | 6,900$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Canadiens | 57c | 6,631$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.29 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Sabres | 43c | 5,563$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.81 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Canadiens | 58c | 5,481$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.4 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…22cdbacked Canadiens | 58c | 4,906$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…52dabacked Canadiens | 58c | 4,830$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Canadiens | 57c | 4,812$2,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.17 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 57c | 4,679$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.62 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Sabres | 10c | 4,273$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.21 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Canadiens | 58c | 3,793$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.1 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Sabres | 43c | 3,791$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Sabres | 17c | 3,560$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.84 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Canadiens | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Sabres | 7c | 3,428$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.96 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Sabres | 41c | 3,356$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.12 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Canadiens | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked Canadiens | 57c | 2,727$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.61 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b47…2f60backed Canadiens | 58c | 2,588$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Sabres | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Sabres | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a8…c0eebacked Sabres | 43c | 2,306$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sabres | 42c | 2,283$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.06 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Sabres | 43c | 2,272$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.83 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Sabres | 43c | 2,074$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 42c | 2,045$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.05 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Canadiens | 74c | 1,905$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.43 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…e1e2backed Sabres | 42c | 1,727$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.34 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Canadiens | 57c | 1,667$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.88 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Sabres | 19c | 1,576$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.77 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Sabres | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Canadiens | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.98 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Sabres | 21c | 1,406$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.46 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Canadiens | 58c | 1,361$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.62 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Sabres | 43c | 1,299$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.58 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sabres | 41c | 1,187$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.65 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Sabres | 37c | 1,068$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.14 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Canadiens | 69c | 1,023$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…9678backed Canadiens | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Canadiens | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Canadiens | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Sabres | 42c | 1,000$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sabres | 27c | 999.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0b…2b8ebacked Sabres | 42c | 998.97$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 37c | 992.69$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.65 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Sabres | 31c | 945.49$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6d46…8029backed Sabres | 43c | 843.26$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f6…fd5abacked Canadiens | 58c | 843.09$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Canadiens | 73c | 839.42$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.64 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Sabres | 43c | 810.93$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.76 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens | 57c | 749.99$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…9147backed Canadiens | 58c | 699.72$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.88 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1761…f864backed Sabres | 43c | 699.53$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Canadiens | 57c | 637.26$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.18 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Canadiens | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Canadiens | 57c | 578$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.54 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked Canadiens | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Canadiens | 58c | 512$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.04 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Sabres | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…3de0backed Sabres | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…25bcbacked Sabres | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07ba…e279backed Canadiens | 58c | 465$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Canadiens | 64c | 438.9$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.89 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 57c | 408.26$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.55 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Canadiens | 57c | 401.99$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.85 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Canadiens | 58c | 387.93$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.93 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Canadiens | 72c | 377$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Canadiens | 58c | 358.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.94 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Sabres | 45c | 353.82$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Sabres | 43c | 352.34$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…0eafbacked Canadiens | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Sabres | 43c | 325.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Canadiens | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Sabres | 13c | 300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Canadiens | 58c | 299.59$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.83 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Canadiens | 58c | 290$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Canadiens | 54c | 275.01$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.51 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Canadiens | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…a742backed Canadiens | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Sabres | 42c | 246.37$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Canadiens | 57c | 236.84$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Canadiens | 58c | 232.76$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed Sabres | 43c | 222$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f0…e82fbacked Sabres | 43c | 204.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…a062backed Canadiens | 58c | 201.72$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Sabres | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf634…dc67backed Canadiens | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Canadiensthis page
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.