Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Central Arkansas Bears vs. Queens (NC) Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69383ed7a853f9cd2eeddbac664abe99e07fac2b2ac9cc879d5d6ed8dfb9d936
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Arkansas Bearsof Central Arkansas Bears, Queens (NC) Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Queens (NC) Royals | 10c | 1,361$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.76 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Central Arkansas Bears | 24c | 1,150$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.92 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 30c | 1,149$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.26 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 24c | 1,000$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.51 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Queens (NC) Royals | 63c | 987.86$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.22 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Central Arkansas Bears | 41c | 695.03$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.87 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Queens (NC) Royals | 67c | 598.39$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.29 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 77c | 502.38$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.8 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Queens (NC) Royals | 72c | 500$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.7 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Central Arkansas Bears | 59c | 326.9$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.07 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Central Arkansas Bears | 28c | 299.23$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.16 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Queens (NC) Royals | 48c | 297.64$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.29 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Queens (NC) Royals | 70c | 269.64$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.75 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Central Arkansas Bears | 50c | 258.33$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Central Arkansas Bears | 30c | 168.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.22 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Queens (NC) Royals | 38c | 134.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Queens (NC) Royals | 67c | 128$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Queens (NC) Royals | 71c | 118.81$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Queens (NC) Royals | 70c | 114.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Central Arkansas Bears | 30c | 108.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 69c | 103.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 37c | 102.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Central Arkansas Bears | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…5a89backed Queens (NC) Royals | 55c | 91.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Central Arkansas Bears | 28c | 90$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 70c | 85.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Queens (NC) Royals | 24c | 84.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Queens (NC) Royals | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf20…3189backed Central Arkansas Bears | 38c | 82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Central Arkansas Bears | 30c | 63.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 47c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…6527backed Central Arkansas Bears | 36c | 52.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Queens (NC) Royals | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Central Arkansas Bears | 29c | 49.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Central Arkansas Bears | 34c | 47.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Central Arkansas Bears | 26c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e7cbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x337e…d7f3backed Queens (NC) Royals | 68c | 32.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…d937backed Central Arkansas Bears | 32c | 32.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Central Arkansas Bears | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Queens (NC) Royals | 70c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…e0bcbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Queens (NC) Royals | 46c | 27.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Central Arkansas Bears | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 58c | 23.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…0db8backed Queens (NC) Royals | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.9wins | -0.56per pick | 70cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Queens (NC) Royals | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Queens (NC) Royals | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Queens (NC) Royals | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…8161backed Queens (NC) Royals | 66c | 17.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Arkansas Bears vs. Queens (NC) Royalsthis page
- Central Arkansas Bears vs. Queens (NC) Royals: O/U 156.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.