Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Wright State Raiders (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f041a7e3b50eee9d9ad7ec970c00bba1f8c9506a584eed76d637228609d8ca3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Titansof Wright State Raiders, Detroit Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $892,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $889,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $892,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Wright State Raiders | 52c | 692,788$360,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360,206.19 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Detroit Titans | 48c | 200,000$96,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,000 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Detroit Titans | 48c | 200,000$96,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,000 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Detroit Titans | 48c | 166,666$80,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,666.32 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Detroit Titans | 48c | 145,700$69,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,764.19 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Detroit Titans | 48c | 133,337$64,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,335.24 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Detroit Titans | 49c | 7,777$3,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,966.27 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Detroit Titans | 49c | 6,652$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.58 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Detroit Titans | 49c | 4,080$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.8 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Detroit Titans | 49c | 3,980$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.9 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Detroit Titans | 30c | 3,010$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.71 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Wright State Raiders | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Detroit Titans | 48c | 2,787$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.45 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Detroit Titans | 49c | 2,423$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.01 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Detroit Titans | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Detroit Titans | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +235.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Wright State Raiders | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Detroit Titans | 49c | 1,019$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.21 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Detroit Titans | 49c | 716.04$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.18 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Wright State Raiders | 51c | 426$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Detroit Titans | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Detroit Titans | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Detroit Titans | 48c | 283.53$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.44 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Detroit Titans | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wright State Raiders | 50c | 191.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Detroit Titans | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Detroit Titans | 51c | 129.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…6473backed Wright State Raiders | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Titans | 49c | 110.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Detroit Titans | 52c | 85.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Detroit Titans | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Detroit Titans | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Wright State Raiders | 46c | 38.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Detroit Titans | 53c | 38.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Wright State Raiders | 78c | 26.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5b…ace4backed Wright State Raiders | 51c | 25.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Wright State Raiders | 70c | 24.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wright State Raiders (-5.5)this page
- Wright State Raiders vs. Detroit TitansWright State Raiders won
- Wright State Raiders vs. Detroit Titans: O/U 147.5Over won
- Wright State Raiders vs. Detroit Titans: O/U 148.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.