Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Manhattan Jaspers: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4dfc72abcce37e76d9f1a6330f199ba19cd816420abb719409189aaadd30c06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $766,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $769,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $766,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 731,805$365,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365,868.3 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 50c | 251,709$125,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,854.35 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Under | 50c | 233,332$116,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,666 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 50c | 125,000$62,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,500 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 50c | 88,116$44,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,058.19 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 14,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 8,029$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 51c | 7,777$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.73 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 51c | 4,645$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.2 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Under | 52c | 4,615$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.38 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +235.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 48c | 1,121$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.57 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 49c | 1,001$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.48 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Under | 52c | 853.85$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.85 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 793.78$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.54 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 53c | 724.6$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.56 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 48c | 697$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.6 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 494.61$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.11 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 49c | 404.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Under | 51c | 297.9$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Under | 50c | 255.26$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.63 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Under | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 51c | 215.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…bdddbacked Under | 51c | 194$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Under | 52c | 193.65$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9899…a7f5backed Under | 51c | 182.67$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…ae58backed Under | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 47c | 125$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82d1…663fbacked Under | 51c | 115.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…8282backed Under | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…e11bbacked Under | 51c | 97.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed Under | 53c | 66.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…b1f4backed Under | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…338dbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 35c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a7…5049backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…f0ccbacked Under | 51c | 48.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…7afcbacked Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…f427backed Under | 51c | 44.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 41.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 51c | 41.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Under | 51c | 35.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…ca6abacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Under | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b02…399dbacked Under | 75c | 17.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Manhattan Jaspers: O/U 145.5this page
- Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Manhattan JaspersCanisius Golden Griffins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.