TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71f9…8282

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$9.11
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.55
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$13.49
Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$14.43
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+92.6%+$11.57
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.74
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.32
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.12
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+93.1%+$12.22
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150%+$16.77
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+150%+$17.7
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+76.2%+$8.39
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23.31
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+122.2%+$12.54
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+120.3%+$19.22
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+170.3%+$51.66
Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+89.5%+$12.81
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.31
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$13.63
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.93
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17.15
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 25 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+113.3%+$12.79
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
Devils vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$58.54
Canucks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+62.9%+$9.89
Penguins vs. Bruinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$37.69
Canucks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.25
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$113.39
Flames vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+33.6%+$26.3
Canucks vs. Red Wingsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$61.57
Maple Leafs vs. Flyersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+109.2%+$13.1
Ducks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+97.6%+$64.61
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+170.5%+$28.13
Senators vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+33%+$12.25
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+26.9%+$9.92
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.56
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.8%+$12.98
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+106.5%+$12
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+45.1%+$19.69
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.3%+$48.03
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$14.11
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$55.11
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.7
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.8%+$30.81
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+241.6%+$70.63
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$59.15
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$23.04
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$101.11
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+131.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$32.19
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18.72
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.94
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$27.63
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+94.1%+$14.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$10.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$7.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.9%+$3.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.