Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: BYU Cougars (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa236cc7639ec71b606ca3ce042556c4187d48539cdee4cebfd82c35f12fcbfbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TCU Horned Frogsof BYU Cougars, TCU Horned Frogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $713,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $713,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $713,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 693,164$353,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340,097.08 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked BYU Cougars | 49c | 451,111$221,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221,044.39 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed BYU Cougars | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,000 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked BYU Cougars | 52c | 10,125$5,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,296.25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked BYU Cougars | 50c | 9,999$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.5 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked BYU Cougars | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed TCU Horned Frogs | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.97 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked BYU Cougars | 52c | 4,231$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed BYU Cougars | 53c | 2,832$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed TCU Horned Frogs | 49c | 2,455$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.32 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked BYU Cougars | 49c | 2,377$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked BYU Cougars | 49c | 1,750$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.5 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BYU Cougars | 49c | 1,522$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.78 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BYU Cougars | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 816.32$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.4 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 769.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed BYU Cougars | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 597$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.33 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed TCU Horned Frogs | 49c | 474.43$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.96 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…1321backed BYU Cougars | 47c | 425.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed BYU Cougars | 50c | 398.7$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.35 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 285.46$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 277$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.58 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked BYU Cougars | 52c | 258.14$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.64 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 211.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 204.08$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8548…4182backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 201.37$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed BYU Cougars | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…eb4fbacked BYU Cougars | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38da…bf9bbacked BYU Cougars | 51c | 194.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed BYU Cougars | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a2…5152backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 157.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed TCU Horned Frogs | 49c | 152.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed BYU Cougars | 50c | 151.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed TCU Horned Frogs | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked BYU Cougars | 52c | 106.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed BYU Cougars | 50c | 102.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…323bbacked BYU Cougars | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 49c | 99.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked BYU Cougars | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 95.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed BYU Cougars | 50c | 91.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…f0ccbacked BYU Cougars | 51c | 83.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 74.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked BYU Cougars | 52c | 71.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee53…7d97backed BYU Cougars | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked BYU Cougars | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…9975backed BYU Cougars | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked BYU Cougars | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked BYU Cougars | 37c | 40.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…1d14backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…3d08backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…2f97backed BYU Cougars | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb42…3ea4backed TCU Horned Frogs | 78c | 37.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…8282backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ea…645fbacked BYU Cougars | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked BYU Cougars | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked BYU Cougars | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b14cbacked BYU Cougars | 53c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 29.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 28.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed BYU Cougars | 50c | 27.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-12.5)this page
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. BYU CougarsBYU Cougars won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 158.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.