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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

TCU Horned Frogs vs. BYU Cougars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BYU Cougarsof TCU Horned Frogs, BYU Cougars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$212,827
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$262,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,827 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed TCU Horned Frogs10c51,696$5,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,172.7969142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed TCU Horned Frogs15c9,575$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.242,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed TCU Horned Frogs18c5,405$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.477839.7%31 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed TCU Horned Frogs15c5,335$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.351,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked TCU Horned Frogs1c4,841$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5424121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed BYU Cougars67c4,423$2,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.965450%27 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd41a…fd60backed TCU Horned Frogs26c4,054$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b3…04e1backed TCU Horned Frogs37c3,500$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked BYU Cougars63c3,284$2,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.611,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked TCU Horned Frogs15c2,526$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.231,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked TCU Horned Frogs0c2,443$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.49270%0 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed TCU Horned Frogs22c2,050$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.5610511.4%12 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed TCU Horned Frogs22c2,038$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.0149747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked TCU Horned Frogs4c1,709$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.533993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed BYU Cougars75c1,570$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.753,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e32…a916backed TCU Horned Frogs23c1,534$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.0230%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e92…c03fbacked TCU Horned Frogs32c1,519$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.421136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked TCU Horned Frogs42c1,432$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c07…aeb0backed TCU Horned Frogs19c1,096$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.073948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked TCU Horned Frogs15c1,069$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.257727.3%21 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed TCU Horned Frogs12c823.42$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.372,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked TCU Horned Frogs21c819.23$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1684146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked TCU Horned Frogs14c780.5$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2977…6efcbacked TCU Horned Frogs33c750.69$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed TCU Horned Frogs20c702.13$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.92,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed BYU Cougars77c628.36$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.1773549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked BYU Cougars79c600$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3743450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed TCU Horned Frogs20c566.11$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.281,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842e…d9f5backed TCU Horned Frogs29c520.2$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b24…2d97backed TCU Horned Frogs29c518.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked TCU Horned Frogs17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8414925.5%38 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed BYU Cougars67c439$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.383,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked TCU Horned Frogs16c438.01$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.111,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed TCU Horned Frogs35c421.55$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.6994036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed TCU Horned Frogs4c397.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6513550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed BYU Cougars78c381.68$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.623,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ab…361bbacked TCU Horned Frogs7c377.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269821.4%21 W · 77 L-17.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x51bf…9205backed BYU Cougars63c374.39$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7858…eb9dbacked TCU Horned Frogs23c300.13$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed TCU Horned Frogs19c300$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.538343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…a26fbacked BYU Cougars76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.45545.5%25 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed TCU Horned Frogs15c290.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8110126.7%27 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked BYU Cougars67c274.13$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.561936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb8d…da9dbacked TCU Horned Frogs20c269.84$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.452035%7 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7dc…3cc7backed TCU Horned Frogs18c266.89$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked TCU Horned Frogs27c260.42$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2757335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70fa…07f3backed TCU Horned Frogs25c239$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.642450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5400…dcaabacked TCU Horned Frogs26c217.18$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed TCU Horned Frogs12c204$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2860548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked TCU Horned Frogs13c176.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.436535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed BYU Cougars75c162.11$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.132,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed BYU Cougars70c143.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.439947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5650…4cd8backed TCU Horned Frogs17c141.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.182763%17 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+57.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x06ec…06d5backed BYU Cougars69c122.59$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b96…f098backed TCU Horned Frogs17c117.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.484621.7%10 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed BYU Cougars65c113$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1316436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8069…30e3backed TCU Horned Frogs28c107.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+62.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed TCU Horned Frogs36c101.93$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff59…dc24backed TCU Horned Frogs12c100.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x27db…e863backed BYU Cougars79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218100%8 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+85.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xdd7e…f17dbacked TCU Horned Frogs16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.84316.3%7 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014b…2a28backed TCU Horned Frogs16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255c…7efebacked BYU Cougars69c99.78$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x394b…4f55backed BYU Cougars68c99.2$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.21450%7 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf720…4599backed TCU Horned Frogs29c84.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed TCU Horned Frogs25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202512%3 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-52.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13bc…2d19backed TCU Horned Frogs17c73.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.11837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+82.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x600b…3695backed TCU Horned Frogs35c73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.81526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-46.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49bb…4d4cbacked TCU Horned Frogs29c69.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54e…4775backed BYU Cougars77c52.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.22450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223e…fc48backed BYU Cougars78c51.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.211361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd004…d54abacked BYU Cougars77c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed BYU Cougars72c48.39$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7318241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a35…60ecbacked BYU Cougars67c44.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b75…3d81backed TCU Horned Frogs36c41.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed BYU Cougars72c41.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7166831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x974b…344cbacked TCU Horned Frogs36c35.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed BYU Cougars70c35.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.596162.3%38 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc995…3053backed BYU Cougars75c31.85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.982050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e74…d044backed BYU Cougars69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.271338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked TCU Horned Frogs36c28.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2415240.1%61 W · 91 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x213a…c46dbacked BYU Cougars75c26.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x230b…1e27backed BYU Cougars78c21.35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.621546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed BYU Cougars75c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.337864.1%50 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0110…af5dbacked BYU Cougars72c19.55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.559153.8%49 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.