TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Clippers, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$945,657

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $945,657 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies51c468,517$238,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229,549.9287144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies51c155,771$79,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,328.3272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Clippers49c144,754$70,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,881.6160351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Clippers50c100,000$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,999.7148343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Grizzlies51c85,634$43,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,748.21,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Clippers50c58,654$29,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,318.7851354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Clippers49c53,793$26,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,358.5229650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Clippers50c34,783$17,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,391.340350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Clippers49c33,248$16,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,291.471,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers49c33,192$16,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,232.221,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Clippers48c32,153$15,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,463.652,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Clippers50c27,200$13,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,599.9724045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Clippers50c24,768$12,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,383.748352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70d2…b48ebacked Clippers45c22,218$9,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,998850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Clippers49c20,409$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Clippers50c18,185$9,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,092.6317144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Clippers47c18,165$8,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,537.729055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Clippers45c15,560$7,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0024742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Grizzlies53c15,000$7,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,049.9911252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Clippers49c14,931$7,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,316.1126949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d3…a655backed Clippers45c14,422$6,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,489.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies53c14,303$7,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,657.384,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Clippers50c14,266$7,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,13311443.9%50 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers47c14,030$6,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,643.749,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Clippers50c13,946$6,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,97333447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Grizzlies53c12,318$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,817.981,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Clippers45c10,637$4,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,786.617550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd97…feecbacked Clippers45c10,429$4,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,692.84862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd9d…b730backed Clippers49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Grizzlies55c8,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Clippers45c7,649$3,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,441.932150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa368…d116backed Clippers46c6,501$2,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,993.322839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.71,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Clippers46c5,317$2,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,445.8219645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Grizzlies52c5,190$2,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500.5265750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Grizzlies51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,450.2318547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers47c4,897$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.574,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Grizzlies51c4,571$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.858648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Clippers49c4,481$2,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,195.6917348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers47c4,397$2,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,067.142,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Grizzlies51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.9924252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Grizzlies51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.1656453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers40c3,869$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.194,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Clippers45c3,824$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.830446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Clippers45c3,738$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68218749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Clippers50c3,672$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,83637747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Grizzlies54c3,590$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.271,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Grizzlies64c3,130$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.81,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies53c3,005$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.024,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Grizzlies55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Grizzlies49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.9582442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Clippers50c2,882$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44131643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Clippers50c2,704$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3077…d15dbacked Clippers45c2,701$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.451850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Grizzlies71c2,691$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.125858.6%34 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Grizzlies57c2,654$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.311764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Clippers48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20017052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2251,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Grizzlies51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.3214448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Grizzlies52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.3595641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4af4…f9e0backed Grizzlies53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1753865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Clippers49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.991,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Clippers46c2,499$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.219445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad6f…cbcdbacked Grizzlies55c2,168$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.61942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Clippers49c2,154$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.741,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Grizzlies52c2,084$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.31,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Clippers51c2,035$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.91,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Grizzlies51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Clippers49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x258b…270ebacked Clippers45c1,882$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.7417748%85 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c42…feefbacked Grizzlies55c1,874$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.31643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Grizzlies55c1,684$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.851,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Clippers44c1,571$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.785,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Grizzlies52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72013339.1%52 W · 81 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Grizzlies51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.348054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Clippers50c1,420$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.0230453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers49c1,408$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.062,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Clippers50c1,405$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.3941947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers48c1,363$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.562,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Clippers45c1,362$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.7238750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd6…6543backed Clippers45c1,340$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6032334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Clippers38c1,326$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.383,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies53c1,200$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.383,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Grizzlies56c1,168$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.0133146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Grizzlies52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.2221355.9%119 W · 94 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Grizzlies56c1,123$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.311,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Grizzlies51c1,062$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.5354443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Clippers45c1,030$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.540243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…cf12backed Clippers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012046.7%56 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Grizzlies52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48023938.1%91 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93e7…cc0cbacked Grizzlies55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4506352.4%33 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Clippers47c995.89$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.0712745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Grizzlies51c980.97$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.9750954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Grizzlies54c980.2$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.6222948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Grizzlies52c964.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.467252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Clippers52c960.71$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.571,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Grizzlies53c937.76$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.9257650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Grizzlies57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.199531.6%30 W · 65 L-11.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Clippers52c868$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.361,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Grizzlies51c867.06$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.3336045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.