NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbeae4804db7a831b6429001eadcbd0534d2e9c379dcd7dd1f2300fca7bf78b1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,500 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 50c | 62,048$30,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,723.48 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Over | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 10,623$5,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,176.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 50c | 8,600$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 8,108$4,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,054.77 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Over | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.12 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 5,144$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.84 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 4,575$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.75 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Over | 51c | 4,567$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.67 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 53c | 3,143$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.21 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 2,197$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 50c | 2,057$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.72 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.99 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 1,531$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.64 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 848.65$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…2cdfbacked Over | 52c | 846.15$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.15 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 50c | 800.1$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 723.71$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.96 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 692.15$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.39 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 68c | 543.55$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.23 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 47c | 471$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.37 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Over | 52c | 435.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.27 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 51c | 311$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.39 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…99d0backed Over | 50c | 242.24$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Over | 51c | 228.75$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.09 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 44c | 200.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 50c | 160.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 41c | 153.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 50c | 141.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 51c | 117.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Over | 51c | 117.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 113.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 51c | 100.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 74c | 100.66$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…9b2bbacked Under | 50c | 85.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 81.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…cec8backed Under | 50c | 79.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…34b9backed Under | 50c | 76.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 51c | 66.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…83a0backed Over | 51c | 64.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 58.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9c…8c15backed Over | 50c | 58.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 52c | 55.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 49c | 55.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 49c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc765…4fe1backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Over | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0b…316abacked Under | 51c | 29.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed Over | 51c | 26.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 25.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed Over | 51c | 25.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…5527backed Over | 51c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 51c | 22.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -17.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6a…d38abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…6499backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Clippers vs. GrizzliesClippers won
- Clippers vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Clippers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
- Darius Garland: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Grizzlies won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.