TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Clippers, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,719 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies44c101,849$44,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,035.5472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Clippers56c35,152$19,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,68520948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers56c34,050$19,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,067.921,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Clippers56c11,940$6,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,686.5652460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies43c11,319$4,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,452.0387144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers56c7,500$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers56c5,501$3,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,075.049,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies47c5,311$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8194,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Clippers57c4,396$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505.699352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Clippers54c3,907$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.642,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Clippers56c3,404$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.4924942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7837…40f1backed Clippers56c3,071$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7203060%18 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Clippers56c2,976$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.5435744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Grizzlies47c2,120$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.051,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Clippers56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb75…2cdfbacked Clippers57c1,316$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Clippers55c1,149$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.1529055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Grizzlies45c1,080$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59495651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Clippers57c1,053$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60038649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies43c999.99$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5653,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers53c862.98$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.264,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Clippers56c714$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.8429650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers56c664.42$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.082,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Clippers54c645$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.319645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Grizzlies44c640.14$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.3921443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Clippers56c617$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.521,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Clippers54c614.72$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33056154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers48c559.8$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.63,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Clippers54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Clippers57c526.34$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa182…03fabacked Clippers56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2808949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Grizzlies47c399.95$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9880737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Grizzlies44c325.55$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.3145646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefb2…4e8dbacked Clippers48c312.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-73.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Clippers56c305.62$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17143453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers56c258.96$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.024,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies45c227.57$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.164,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Clippers49c208.23$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2445445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Clippers54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015149%74 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Clippers53c184.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.661,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Grizzlies44c181.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8246346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Clippers57c175.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Grizzlies44c163$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3856547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53f0…fff4backed Clippers55c155.75$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854770.2%33 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Grizzlies53c154.7$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7191846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Clippers54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Clippers50c147.45$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1645452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Grizzlies43c147.3$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4814046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea33…ae06backed Clippers57c140.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011759.8%70 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Clippers54c112.59$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.013,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies51c112.09$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.642,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Clippers57c104.4$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6029844%131 W · 167 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Grizzlies48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1717342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Clippers57c99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.431,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed8…3affbacked Clippers51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014170.9%100 W · 41 L+11.4wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Grizzlies45c91.6$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4234248.8%167 W · 175 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Clippers58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Grizzlies44c81.39$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5857250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Clippers48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368754%47 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Grizzlies49c74.26$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.861,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Clippers53c60.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbd…7d08backed Clippers54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012257.4%70 W · 52 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Grizzlies42c54.42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5635444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Grizzlies44c53.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0757650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Grizzlies48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0840541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3557…4596backed Clippers58c51.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305768.4%39 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Clippers57c51.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1220762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1311…a3abbacked Clippers53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.53545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52aa…e5dabacked Grizzlies52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.87757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Clippers54c46.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Clippers56c45.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.625651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d99…faa2backed Grizzlies44c45.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Clippers56c42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5246447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Clippers49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.688057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5f2…3ca1backed Grizzlies52c38.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.43852.6%20 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Clippers53c38.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3487744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec1…dd29backed Clippers54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022556.9%128 W · 97 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Clippers56c35.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.837842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers57c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.383,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Clippers49c33.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.651,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Clippers47c29.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1450351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Grizzlies45c29.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1711128.8%32 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Grizzlies44c28.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8736045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce66…8e63backed Grizzlies44c27.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.332454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Clippers48c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5739055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Clippers47c25.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.771,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Clippers54c23.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.841,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebf6…9315backed Clippers58c21.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.