NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f48c4dbdffe010f90dfe33986f8685d279ef19593b0eda0b8419f60d934ba49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,039 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 4,712$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.03 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2a…9aa8backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 3,389$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.02 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…6441backed Over | 51c | 1,704$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…09c5backed Over | 51c | 1,515$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 1,420$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 46c | 920$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.2 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…f9d5backed Over | 51c | 782$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.18 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 45c | 690$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 77c | 639.6$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 627.66$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.22 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 37c | 589.26$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.06 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 541.7$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.77 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 29c | 516.28$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.85 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…7a80backed Over | 79c | 340.23$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b5…ae57backed Over | 78c | 255.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 39c | 246.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 46c | 239.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.07 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 20c | 220$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 45c | 211.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 56c | 172.1$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 78c | 144.07$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 34c | 130.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 71c | 105.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 45c | 94.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 58c | 86.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under | 20c | 85.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…7680backed Over | 56c | 80.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 55c | 70.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 72c | 59.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 27c | 55.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 37.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 42c | 33.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…48c6backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…0975backed Under | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 25.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 59c | 25.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 76c | 22.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Over | 54c | 20.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 74c | 13.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Clippers vs. GrizzliesClippers won
- Clippers vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Clippers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
- Darius Garland: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Grizzlies won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.