TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,709 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Under52c21,242$11,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,045.821,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Over49c19,977$9,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,269.31,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c5,758$2,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,892.54,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c5,596$2,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,840.579,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c4,500$2,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,313.714,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Over48c4,285$2,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.024742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over48c3,979$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.081,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under52c3,967$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.582,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5601,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c2,141$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.062,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3370246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c1,748$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.13,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over56c1,730$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.311,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under52c1,700$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88465750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under52c1,557$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.5833146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacba…40a1backed Under27c1,085$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.42941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over56c1,054$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.953,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over77c926.19$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.346764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over49c822.45$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.4525951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb75…2cdfbacked Over49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.333548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over65c725.5$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.743,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over66c688.82$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.3383039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over48c668.13$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4321443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf75…d56abacked Under52c563.46$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over56c475$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2092,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over49c440.02$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.412,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over78c397.14$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.771,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Under32c375.17$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022249.5%110 W · 112 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a7…87b6backed Under52c353.34$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.745050%25 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under51c346.91$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.922,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.552146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over50c307$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.522055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15645646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Over49c287$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4223946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under22c280.62$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.92,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over73c270$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.11,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c245.41$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.853,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed Under20c240$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.65651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over48c237.91$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7139943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over48c222.88$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.481,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over69c218.11$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1265872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Over49c213.79$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.0383158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6820744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under18c194.66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4240243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under51c174.7$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.164844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Under29c170.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027462%170 W · 104 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under29c160.93$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.321,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over79c159$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3361939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over48c150.96$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.541649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7856547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Under40c145.05$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.84647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7573…2c46backed Under52c134.71$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under38c131.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.021,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over67c127.25$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4936154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a48…83c5backed Under52c125.42$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.22425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x895a…96a9backed Under36c125$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under44c123.81$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.543,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a33…9a46backed Over72c121.21$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5413953.2%74 W · 65 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffb…f9eabacked Under52c119.31$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.94425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa308…94b9backed Under53c113.37$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over78c108$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7627463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c101.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.945,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Under53c100.09$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310955%60 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5241052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa13c…7c8ebacked Under52c99.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under53c90$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6137549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under52c85$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.237750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over72c83$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.521,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1440…8cf8backed Under44c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under62c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.661253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e12…589ebacked Under32c75.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.881637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over48c75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3957250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over71c70.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6990357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over49c69.73$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.391,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over76c68$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3446940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Under27c61.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3910623.6%25 W · 81 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Over63c55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1418261%111 W · 71 L+16.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2c6…988abacked Under33c54.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over65c52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0476653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Over48c51.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6817459.2%103 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17b5…ae57backed Over73c41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116946.4%32 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52aa…e5dabacked Under52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under52c38.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x448a…3faabacked Under53c38.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over50c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Over65c38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4339055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46fc…28f8backed Under35c32.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over63c30.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3587744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9be6…b8b2backed Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.33262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c30.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.662,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.645251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f0d…f4d9backed Under53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152250%11 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0172…4d2bbacked Under53c24.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over62c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1252053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under51c23.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over48c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4423350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3df…06afbacked Under53c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under52c21.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0821852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.442551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.