TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,554 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under48c115,627$55,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,106.7254539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over52c98,838$51,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,215.7860351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c17,310$8,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,283.234,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Over51c15,543$8,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,541.145945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over53c11,208$5,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,276.191,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8001,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over60c3,382$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.98,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c2,915$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.814,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over55c2,727$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.2756453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c2,130$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0012,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c2,124$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.772,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under48c2,041$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.922,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under49c1,807$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.6336351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under47c1,777$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.191,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Over53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70514448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under47c1,090$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.38747.1%41 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Over55c1,046$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.3911159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over52c1,000$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.553,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over53c985.12$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.5241947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over53c956.28$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.2330453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9030…cf12backed Over54c925$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.512046.7%56 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over53c923.94$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.8221443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c913.14$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.614,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over55c734.03$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.3122055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under49c693.88$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c574.23$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.893,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under47c545.09$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.3514046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c450.59$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.399,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c438.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.264,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under48c417.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b9…7e01backed Under32c404.54$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4560%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over52c390.62$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.6726756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52aa…e5dabacked Under46c360$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f8e…5ad4backed Over54c360$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.61127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over53c306.22$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.4184150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Under49c277.61$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0312552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c250.5$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.755,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under49c230$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.710940.4%44 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd571…9f0abacked Under49c220.41$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under46c213.67$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.32,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over49c207.93$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0153149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Over53c204.29$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0514053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x451f…7301backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.197853.8%42 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Over53c184.69$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9914466%95 W · 49 L+17.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under43c181.61$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.743,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under48c169.61$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3335843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Over53c155.11$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0330654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under47c155$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.661,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under39c154.97$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7145452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under45c133$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8529243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over52c130.31$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9489853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b20…62cbbacked Over53c129.76$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6919659.7%117 W · 79 L+17.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c123.33$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.26,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under49c118.8$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2162541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f95…70a9backed Over54c112.54$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.776165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Under47c107.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507247.2%34 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2565872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Over52c97.46$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5512650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9122447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Under49c72.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4320949.3%103 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under47c70.21$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3323446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeac9…4092backed Over53c66.72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1820554.6%112 W · 93 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7649…a58dbacked Over53c60.18$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.284252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over53c56.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2910545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over54c55.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.231,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Under46c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8453839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over53c50.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.941,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Over53c49.77$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2722748.9%111 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Over53c47.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5922953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf35…3fe7backed Over52c46.3$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.226653%35 W · 31 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over53c46.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.752,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…a3abbacked Under44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2093145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bb6…8de2backed Over53c43.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.326258.1%36 W · 26 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f5…8335backed Over53c42.57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.926659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.646447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdb…02c3backed Over53c37.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.736259.7%37 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x409b…21e8backed Over54c36.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4825855.8%144 W · 114 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under47c36.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1754854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over74c34.82$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.053,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Over52c34.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4347852.9%253 W · 225 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under49c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6623350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Over53c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5132148.3%155 W · 166 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c0b…316abacked Under48c31.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under49c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1932747.4%155 W · 172 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under49c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1962049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under49c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1927345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under49c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1932947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Under48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.425143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…7af9backed Over52c29.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Over54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7840548.6%197 W · 208 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcde9…fd96backed Over55c27.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.491752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over68c27.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8836045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x056c…5066backed Under45c26.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under47c26.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3391846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under45c25.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.31,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under49c23.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4460945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under48c20.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.141,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.