TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,792 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes48c1,556$742 inWon+$814.8195651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No52c1,076$559 inLost-$558.591,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa382…ed19backed No52c805.7$417 inLost-$417.133240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfab0…e0f5backed Yes53c508.1$268 inWon+$239.988658.1%50 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No52c483.07$249 inLost-$248.914,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No53c471$250 inLost-$249.6321443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca0f…780bbacked Yes48c202.08$97 inWon+$105.082948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa1…176bbacked Yes49c183.7$90 inWon+$93.697048.6%34 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4729…8cfdbacked Yes48c171.04$82 inWon+$89.045139.2%20 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Yes52c163.52$85 inWon+$78.7631540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd598…c67cbacked Yes47c159.57$75 inWon+$84.579037.8%34 W · 56 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef4e…a79abacked Yes47c128.85$60 inWon+$68.853844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No50c100$50 inLost-$5097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No52c70.35$37 inLost-$36.7892058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes50c60.2$30 inWon+$30.293145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No52c56$29 inLost-$29.1295260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No54c50.63$27 inLost-$27.3483158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Yes47c41.6$19 inWon+$22.114466%95 W · 49 L+17.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No54c40$22 inLost-$21.688057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12c3…b054backed Yes50c40$20 inWon+$207951.9%41 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No51c39.99$20 inLost-$20.296956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74e3…59cdbacked Yes52c28.83$15 inWon+$13.842556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No45c27.27$12 inLost-$12.275,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Yes55c27.27$15 inWon+$12.2712548%60 W · 65 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f2…3ca1backed No54c25.11$14 inLost-$13.563852.6%20 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.