NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5393ebfb900e4e1c9cc3a7094ac5ac9f6d84d5bf4f48d6387cb396915558cd50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Celtics, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $936,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $951,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $936,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Raptors | 51c | 619,345$317,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301,464.15 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Celtics | 49c | 400,000$196,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Celtics | 48c | 289,855$139,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139,947.08 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors | 51c | 121,374$61,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,897.94 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Celtics | 48c | 62,818$30,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,152.53 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Celtics | 50c | 27,843$13,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,865.36 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Raptors | 51c | 22,734$11,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,210.93 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors | 52c | 21,343$11,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,218.22 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 49c | 15,761$7,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,670.47 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 52c | 14,838$7,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,171.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors | 52c | 14,000$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 50c | 12,114$6,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,028.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Celtics | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Celtics | 49c | 11,853$5,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,866.64 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Raptors | 50c | 8,016$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,015.58 | 173 | 31.8%55 W · 118 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…fbb2backed Raptors | 54c | 5,572$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Celtics | 50c | 5,480$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Celtics | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Celtics | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Celtics | 48c | 4,801$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.88 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Raptors | 52c | 4,200$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Raptors | 54c | 4,074$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.07 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Raptors | 55c | 3,812$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.23 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Celtics | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Celtics | 50c | 2,916$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Raptors | 52c | 2,541$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.69 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Celtics | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Raptors | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Raptors | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Raptors | 52c | 1,954$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.04 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Celtics | 48c | 1,893$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.36 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Raptors | 50c | 1,802$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.96 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Celtics | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Raptors | 53c | 1,477$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.82 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Raptors | 52c | 1,445$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.04 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Raptors | 51c | 1,408$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.84 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Celtics | 51c | 1,323$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.52 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Celtics | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Celtics | 49c | 1,202$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.65 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Celtics | 4c | 1,200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Celtics | 50c | 1,053$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.98 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Celtics | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Raptors | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Raptors | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Raptors | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Raptors | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Celtics | 37c | 891.55$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.3 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Raptors | 50c | 870$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…85d8backed Celtics | 61c | 813.31$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Raptors | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Celtics | 49c | 763.87$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.3 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Celtics | 7c | 608.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Raptors | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Celtics | 48c | 530$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.7 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Raptors | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…0736backed Celtics | 51c | 482.27$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Celtics | 48c | 480.43$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.91 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 50c | 463$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Celtics | 54c | 444.2$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.83 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Raptors | 53c | 443.4$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.4 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Celtics | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Celtics | 48c | 390$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.1 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Raptors | 51c | 354$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.46 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Celtics | 66c | 334$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.44 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Celtics | 17c | 311$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Celtics | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Raptors | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors | 37c | 299.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.35 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Celtics | 50c | 290.04$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.02 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Raptors | 51c | 286.5$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.39 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Raptors | 51c | 283.23$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.78 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…ae58backed Celtics | 47c | 254.28$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Raptors | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Raptors | 37c | 249.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.2 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Celtics | 8c | 242.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 85 | 12.9%11 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Celtics | 50c | 235.92$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.96 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Celtics | 49c | 231.56$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Celtics | 66c | 228.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…9955backed Celtics | 12c | 220.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Celtics | 53c | 220$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Celtics | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Raptors | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Celtics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked Raptors | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Celtics | 39c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Raptors | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Raptors | 51c | 187$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.63 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Celtics | 48c | 182.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Celtics | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 48c | 159.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Celtics | 49c | 153.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcaf…9343backed Celtics | 50c | 148$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Celtics | 50c | 146.21$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Celtics | 59c | 142.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Celtics | 49c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Celtics | 67c | 127.18$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.21 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…7169backed Celtics | 45c | 127$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Raptors | 54c | 126$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…4cddbacked Raptors | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…c291backed Celtics | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Raptors vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.