Serie A · resolved market
Will Parma win on 2025-10-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc37bc5d80442022b1b35cdbd1c36d905473af97f726a67599c5469ead8a1dc27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 79c | 7,746$6,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.5 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 5,640$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.07 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 20c | 2,522$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.78 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,063$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.11 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 21c | 1,623$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.83 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 79c | 1,279$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.52 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 20c | 854$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 6c | 470.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 23c | 276.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 22c | 245$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b4…08d7backed No | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ae…b7b7backed No | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x618a…6196backed No | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…f860backed No | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde43…ec94backed No | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…497dbacked No | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…d418backed No | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1167…dd5dbacked No | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…0426backed No | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…2032backed No | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa776…a17bbacked Yes | 22c | 183.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…d392backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…1fa7backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Yes | 20c | 122.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 19c | 99.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 22c | 92.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a7…5049backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a66…629ebacked No | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 23c | 45.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 77c | 41.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…aa7bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 75c | 17.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…7281backed No | 78c | 12.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Parma win on 2025-10-25?this page
- Will Como win on 2025-10-25?No won
- Will Parma vs. Como end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.