Serie A · resolved market
Will Parma vs. Como end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89e4e30662abfff32397d60f76cd94808baee83aea009ecae0cf72785df4a53a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 29c | 1,738$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.31 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 71c | 1,349$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.96 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 70c | 864.9$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.49 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a62…57cabacked Yes | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 614$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.75 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 30c | 543.13$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked No | 60c | 369.35$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 40c | 277.11$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.37 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 24c | 265.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 139.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 73c | 137.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…5a4fbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…4095backed No | 46c | 94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 70c | 72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…9118backed Yes | 78c | 55.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…2bccbacked No | 62c | 46.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 71c | 34.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 68c | 32.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x557f…efa5backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…fc62backed No | 72c | 25.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a66…629ebacked No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66cb…e1c7backed No | 72c | 20.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Parma vs. Como end in a draw?this page
- Will Como win on 2025-10-25?No won
- Will Parma win on 2025-10-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.