Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Saint Peter's Peacocks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe986f8d2ebf7ed9ab05a5dfb48151ed5fbd108737e17866273f0817857c066ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineersof Saint Peter's Peacocks, Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $704,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $704,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $704,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 53c | 689,223$364,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324,605.13 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 47c | 400,000$188,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 47c | 107,135$50,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,353.41 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,000 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 48c | 66,674$32,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,003.33 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 48c | 4,953$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.23 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 53c | 1,870$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 50c | 1,768$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.6 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 50c | 1,723$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.41 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 50c | 1,090$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 52c | 957.08$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 53c | 943.86$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.96 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +235.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 51c | 674.16$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 47c | 529$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.71 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 53c | 507.55$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 51c | 487.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 52c | 388.68$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc82a…cc74backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…e07abacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 52c | 312.83$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 49c | 299.65$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.83 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 51c | 204.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcaf…9343backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 52c | 193.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…aa17backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 52c | 193.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…338dbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 53c | 189.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…ae58backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 50c | 173.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.42 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 51c | 149.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 36c | 145$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 50c | 106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…c291backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 52c | 100.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 53c | 99.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…9ce0backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 51c | 97.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc29b…6012backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 49c | 89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a7…5049backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 50c | 73.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…1dbabacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 51c | 58.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9899…a7f5backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6417…e608backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…9c15backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 51c | 33.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…4caebacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 51c | 33.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…697abacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5b…ace4backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 53c | 24.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 52c | 22.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Saint Peter's Peacocks (-1.5)this page
- Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Mount St. Mary's MountaineersMount St. Mary's Mountaineers won
- Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: O/U 138.5Under won
- Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: O/U 139.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.