Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f7ccf25cd7c4bae715d04174c408f34c69ab689600c6ed63b41d0981e02f4cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 41c | 2,022$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.81 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 58c | 916.13$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.27 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…3b01backed No | 62c | 449.17$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.56 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 59c | 252$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.68 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 59c | 243.6$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.72 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 59c | 236.39$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.13 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…3ff6backed No | 20c | 203.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 46c | 188.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 37c | 184.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 51c | 180.96$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 41c | 180$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.8 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 42c | 174.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.71 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 42c | 174.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 46c | 169$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa760…2c51backed Yes | 47c | 165.54$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 212 | 64.6%137 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 39c | 164.58$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 54c | 156.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 59c | 148.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 54c | 147.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 44c | 138.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 44c | 132.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 60c | 126$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 39c | 124.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…93bcbacked Yes | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 59c | 119.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…b8febacked No | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 286 | 66.8%191 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 36c | 101$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc388…ed37backed Yes | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 38c | 96.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 76c | 86.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 61c | 82.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 38c | 78.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed No | 59c | 75.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…72ddbacked No | 60c | 71.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a96…286bbacked Yes | 57c | 68.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 58c | 67.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 39c | 62.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 64c | 61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 60c | 60.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 59c | 57.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 35c | 55.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 52c | 53.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…7477backed No | 57c | 52.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -34.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 46c | 51.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 60c | 49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa957…7638backed Yes | 68c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb430…efc9backed Yes | 41c | 43.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 62c | 40.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…44c4backed Yes | 43c | 39.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 39.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 55c | 39.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 352 | 64.8%228 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 40c | 37.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 54c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b1…00b2backed No | 64c | 35.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 59c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 64c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked No | 63c | 30.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 297 | 69.4%206 W · 91 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…95f5backed No | 60c | 30.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…aac9backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f70…133ebacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 45c | 28.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cca6backed Yes | 41c | 28.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 264 | 41.3%109 W · 155 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 59c | 27.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 54c | 27.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 171 | 65.5%112 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 53c | 25.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Yes | 42c | 25.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 336 | 54.2%182 W · 154 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked Yes | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6a…4614backed Yes | 72c | 22.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -11.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 55c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1ee8backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…dd86backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.