Fifa International · resolved market
Will Marc Guéhi be in England's Starting 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb24c13619066249180279330d65ebff4b6a59ebc7e614b3e31403bd10486b141
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed No | 36c | 322$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.23 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 54c | 276.33$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 53c | 161.89$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 489 | 61.3%300 W · 189 L | +71.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…1f07backed Yes | 75c | 123$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…edf2backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…61d6backed Yes | 42c | 96.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked No | 67c | 74.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf07f…9a2cbacked Yes | 35c | 71.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e85abacked Yes | 44c | 68.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…6ef4backed Yes | 46c | 52.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…93bcbacked No | 62c | 41.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa4…0dfebacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15e5…9749backed Yes | 41c | 36.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8503…6666backed Yes | 45c | 31.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…26aabacked No | 67c | 29.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -15.0wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa539…c217backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Marc Guéhi be in England's Starting 11?this page
- Will Anthony Gordon be in England's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will Bukayo Saka be in England's Starting 11?No won
- Will Dan Burn be in England's Starting 11?No won
- Will Dean Henderson be in England's Starting 11?No won
- Will Elliot Anderson be in England's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will Ezri Konsa be in England's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will James Trafford be in England's Starting 11?No won
- Will John Stones be in England's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will Jordan Henderson be in England's Starting 11?No won
- Will Jude Bellingham be in England's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will Kobbie Mainoo be in England's Starting 11?No won
- Will Marcus Rashford be in England's Starting 11?No won
- Will Morgan Rogers be in England's Starting 11?No won
- Will Nico O'Reilly be in England's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will Noni Madueke be in England's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will Ollie Watkins be in England's Starting 11?No won
- Will Reece James be in England's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will Tino Livramento be in England's Starting 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.