TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Ethereum all time high by January 31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,018,089
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,698,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,018,089 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x75b1…ef97backed Yes1c119,400$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e4…5028backed Yes0c116,506$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35cd…17c2backed Yes0c102,573$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…e741backed Yes1c100,967$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe976…68d1backed Yes3c41,942$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3331717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-61.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes2c39,930$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.923212.5%4 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-57.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ccf…c90abacked Yes8c36,967$3,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,068.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa244…8e63backed Yes3c30,932$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.31229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-64.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d31…f1e0backed Yes9c30,118$2,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,823.420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e82…6bacbacked Yes6c23,644$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+92.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e7…9a6fbacked Yes8c23,468$1,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.4130%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd49c…8150backed Yes2c20,698$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.11546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick34cpaid-9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16c0…bd78backed Yes0c19,996$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9df7…3155backed Yes4c15,601$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x246f…773cbacked Yes2c14,432$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.69520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-73.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x868d…36cbbacked Yes1c14,000$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70d7…8e0dbacked Yes2c13,684$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.360%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ec…d1d7backed Yes2c13,219$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc663…4aa8backed Yes0c12,133$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed Yes6c11,967$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.9550%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09d7…2dbfbacked Yes1c11,480$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.64310%0 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00b1…3e18backed Yes0c10,800$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes4c10,616$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.5987828.4%249 W · 629 L+2.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes2c10,564$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a5…5ac2backed Yes6c10,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc822…3045backed Yes4c10,027$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9739…159fbacked Yes0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-86.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes7c9,317$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.5930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc631…76f6backed Yes6c8,702$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.143342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f0…be32backed Yes9c8,073$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.152263.6%14 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb15d…2851backed Yes4c7,718$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.721050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2827backed Yes7c7,597$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127c…4935backed Yes7c7,541$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37ac…1722backed Yes2c7,345$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b2…17e4backed Yes5c7,183$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394248.3%2 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-81.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc15…3635backed Yes8c6,980$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.43540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a4…fba9backed Yes7c6,862$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79a7…17cfbacked Yes1c6,678$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cf9…cffdbacked Yes5c6,500$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3122416.7%4 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe08f…2ad4backed Yes1c5,606$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03bf…c8b0backed Yes5c5,493$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3081…8a20backed Yes6c5,439$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a92…af18backed Yes4c5,438$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8216…6c5bbacked Yes10c5,362$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6945…8e1dbacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5d7…c5afbacked Yes4c5,000$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-71.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb8…3da7backed Yes1c5,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-58%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x157c…c901backed Yes3c4,445$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-61.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8983…c472backed Yes7c4,173$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fbe…d7e1backed Yes8c4,049$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.0940%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4242…f42ebacked Yes9c4,013$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.4460%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes1c4,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-73.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd36a…5bc2backed Yes9c3,885$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.3970%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1766…5705backed Yes2c3,667$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7b…32bfbacked Yes8c3,662$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e4…068bbacked Yes5c3,585$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.62110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe014…2215backed Yes1c3,568$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf01d…4864backed Yes3c3,487$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…003abacked Yes3c3,334$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e07…e66fbacked Yes6c3,334$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0150%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabcb…b7b8backed Yes8c3,331$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d68…30dbbacked Yes6c3,110$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fad…2765backed Yes3c3,104$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x970c…e248backed Yes2c3,092$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.472020%4 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-52.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1edf…0d4fbacked Yes6c3,090$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8132…828dbacked Yes5c3,000$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf627…30f3backed Yes3c2,986$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8340%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb980…c8e2backed Yes7c2,970$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x356f…9d3abacked Yes8c2,825$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc9…ee9dbacked Yes11c2,817$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff24…7765backed Yes6c2,756$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1056…2f84backed Yes10c2,728$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed Yes5c2,685$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.051369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e0b…25f9backed Yes1c2,643$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ea0…96febacked Yes2c2,553$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.291225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-52.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66fe…aed3backed Yes6c2,547$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36bc…c771backed Yes1c2,362$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe896…938bbacked Yes1c2,235$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1643…ceaebacked Yes9c2,198$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf59a…a59dbacked Yes1c2,077$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x957a…ae3fbacked Yes6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bb8…4ce8backed Yes4c1,916$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ac…6a42backed Yes6c1,888$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x741b…b1d3backed Yes3c1,877$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd1…22c8backed Yes3c1,874$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes6c1,870$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.13414.7%5 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-61.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf01…73e8backed Yes3c1,853$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba7b…b1c0backed Yes1c1,818$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d21…3842backed Yes1c1,800$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb7…3573backed Yes8c1,684$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5f…f064backed Yes4c1,669$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa9…d41fbacked Yes3c1,635$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3af…9fe8backed Yes3c1,633$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd5…0e3abacked Yes1c1,622$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2939…1235backed Yes7c1,526$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ff…8750backed Yes7c1,509$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab6f…4c52backed Yes3c1,485$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes7c1,461$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.93933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa94f…0045backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd3…3afebacked Yes7c1,394$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.84248.3%2 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.